Race 4 - TAB INTER DOMINION TROTTING CHAMPIONSHIP (3RD ROUND QUALIFYING HEAT 1) (GROUP 3)

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No. Horse Class Gate Speed Pattern Price
1 SAVE OUR PENNYS SS $4.5
2 FATHER CHRISTMAS NZ   EV $101
3 MAORI LAW EV $6.5
4 TORNADO VALLEY NZ LE $1.4
5 OUR TWENTYTEN NZ     $
6 RED HOT TOOTH LV $26
7 KOWHAI MONARCH NZ V $51
8 ALDERBECK NZ   SS $101
9 TOUGH MONARCH   EV $12
10 WILMAS MATE NZ   V $34
11 SKY PETITE   V $16
 

SS=Sit Sprinter V=Versatile E=Enforcer L=Leader

OVERVIEW: This Inter Dominion has already produced plenty of twists and turns but one reliable constant has been TORNADO VALLEY (4) finding the front and SAVE OUR PENNYS (1) trailing him in the strongest trotters heat on every night of the series. And amazingly, incredibly, it’s overwhelmingly likely to transpire once again tonight. If that scenario does materialise and MAORI LAW (3) doesn’t cause an early speed map surprise then just as they have done on nights one and two of ID18 TORNADO VALLEY (4) will lead, dictate and salute while SAVE OUR PENNYS (1) will appear a threat on straightening before looming to the favourite’s girth and nailing silver medal honours. Regardless of what transpires early MAORI LAW (3) looks a clear third selection with cheeky blowout claims courtesy of his brilliant turn of speed while TOUGH MONARCH (9) is the other big dog who will once again be forced to forge his own path, probably three wide without a friend, through the final circuit. Merely dealing in that quartet you should have all the armoury to bed down Trifectas at least but if First Fours are more up your alley, particularly with $50K projected F4 pools for all tonight’s Inter Dominion preliminaries, then also consider RED HOT TOOTH (6) and SKY PETITE (11) for fourth place honours as well.

Selections

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  Jason Blake
TORNADO VALLEY (4) TORNADO VALLEY (4)
SAVE OUR PENNYS (1) SAVE OUR PENNYS (1)
MAORI LAW (3) FATHER CHRISTMAS (2)
4th TOUGH MONARCH (9) MAORI LAW (3)

Suggested Bet (Jason): Flexi First Four: 4/ 1/ 3,9/ 3,6,9,11 ($30 gets 500%)

Suggested Bet (Blake): Flexi Trifecta 4/1/2,3 for $20 gets 1000%

Barrier Stats

Cranbourne (Last 12 Months)
# Wins (Starts) # Wins (Starts)
1 21 (165) 8 10 (93)
2 24 (164) 9 7 (56)
3 27 (165) 10 4 (34)
4 24 (165) 11 1 (10)
5 19 (163) 12 0 (1)
6 18 (144)    
7 10 (74)    

Driver Stats

Last 12 Months @ Cranbourne (Drivers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Greg Sugars 124 25 18 19 20%
Kate Gath 25 8 3 3 32%
Zac Phillips 54 6 10 7 11%
John Caldow 23 5 3 1 22%
Gavin Lang 47 3 9 8 6%
Anthony Butt 25 2 2 3 8%
Ryan Duffy 18 1 4 3 6%
Todd McCarthy 2 0 1 0 0%

Trainer Stats

Last 12 Months @ Cranbourne (Trainers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Andy Gath 20 7 2 3 35%
Kari Males 5 2 0 1 40%
Brent Lilley 20 1 3 5 5%
Michael Stanley 5 0 3 0 0%
Bill Morgan 1 0 1 0 0%
Graeme Lang 1 0 0 0 0%

Market Fluctuations

Price change since market open (Updated: 7/12/18 1pm)
Runner Name Open Current Change
1 SAVE OUR PENNYS $7 $6.5 1.10%
2 FATHER CHRISTMAS $41 $126 -1.60%
3 MAORI LAW $2.6 $4.6 -16.70%
4 TORNADO VALLEY $1.7 $1.22 23.10%
6 RED HOT TOOTH $71 $101 -0.40%
7 KOWHAI MONARCH $201 $151 0.20%
8 ALDERBECK $51 $61 -0.30%
9 TOUGH MONARCH $14 $23 -2.80%
10 WILMAS MATE $26 $101 -2.90%
11 SKY PETITE $51 $101 -1.00%