Race 7 - TAB INTER DOMINION TROTTING CHAMPIONSHIP GRAND FINAL (GROUP 1)

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No. Horse Class Gate Speed Pattern Price
1 SPEEDING SPUR NZ LE $3.5
2 MONTY PYTHON NZ VSS $101
3 SAVE OUR PENNYS SS $10
4 ROMPERS MONARCHY NZ SS $101
5 BIG JACK HAMMER SSV $34
6 TORNADO VALLEY NZ LE $1.6
7 SKY PETITE SS $51
8 ILLAWONG ARMSTRONG (Em 1)     $
9 TOUGH MONARCH   EV $8.5
10 KINGDOM COME NZ   SS $101
11 KYVALLEY BLUR USA   SS $10
12 WILMAS MATE NZ   SS $101
13 RED HOT TOOTH   V $51
 

SS=Sit Sprinter V=Versatile E=Enforcer L=Leader

OVERVIEW: The first of the night’s genuine majors has been pitted as a Bledisloe battle between nine-time Group 1-winning Kiwi SPEEDING SPUR (1) and expatriate Kiwi-turned-Aussie TORNADO VALLEY (6) which has only gathered momentum courtesy of their respective draws. Plainly put there are only three potential Speed Map scenarios here; either SPEEDING SPUR (1) leads and keeps the front, TORNADO VALLEY (6) crosses at the start or SPEEDING SPUR (1) leads but relents to the pressure from the popular elect. Because of the speed drawn between the two big guns it’s marginally more likely that SPEEDING SPUR (1) will kick through and keep the front with TORNADO VALLEY (6) in the breeze but the simple fact are these; if he does lead TORNADO VALLEY (6) is a genuine $1.10 shot and even if he breezes he’s probably a $1.80 chance so the $1.70 currently up for grabs represents great value for a horse who is much better right here and right now than any of his rivals. If SPEEDING SPUR (1) leads he’s the major threat and if he hands up he’s near certain to finish second so play him with purpose through your exotics and perhaps as a saver through Quads while also paying respect to TOUGH MONARCH (9) who also has blowout claims should the polemarker lead and he holds his back in transit along with SAVE OUR PENNYS (3) who has had a near-perfect if ultimately fruitless ID campaign and KYVALLEY BLUR (11) who possesses all the requisite class but will need the race run at genuine speed to give him his chance to play ambush artist late.

Selections

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  Jason Blake
TORNADO VALLEY (6) TORNADO VALLEY (6)
SPEEDING SPUR (1) SPEEDING SPUR (1)
TOUGH MONARCH (9) MONTY PYTHON (2)
4th SAVE OUR PENNYS (3) KYVALLEY BLUR (11)

Suggested Bet (Jason): Flexi Trifecta: 6/ 1,9/ 1,3,9,11 ($30 gets 750%)

Suggested Bet (Blake): Flexi Trifecta 1,6/1,6/2,8,11 for $20 gets 333%

Barrier Stats

Tabcorp Park Melton (Last 12 Months)
# Wins (Starts) # Wins (Starts)
1 109 (714) 8 45 (591)
2 94 (714) 9 49 (483)
3 77 (713) 10 38 (385)
4 83 (711) 11 14 (261)
5 90 (693) 12 13 (152)
6 67 (618) 13 4 (56)
7 31 (332)    

Driver Stats

Last 12 Months @ Melton (Drivers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Chris Alford 455 113 74 51 25%
Kate Gath 246 51 35 29 21%
Gavin Lang 273 46 37 40 17%
Kima Frenning 111 20 20 10 18%
John Caldow 223 18 19 27 8%
Anthony Butt 140 16 8 10 11%
Zac Phillips 164 15 15 26 9%
Jodi Quinlan 125 13 14 13 10%
Alex Ashwood 64 5 5 7 8%
Ryan Duffy 83 4 12 5 5%
David Morris 4 1 0 1 25%
Josh Dickie 2 1 0 0 50%
Rickie Alchin 6 0 0 2 0%

Trainer Stats

Last 12 Months @ Melton (Trainers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Andy Gath 247 46 34 26 19%
Brent Lilley 234 37 31 25 16%
David Aiken 140 24 22 20 17%
Michael Stanley 82 11 8 14 13%
Jodi Quinlan 87 9 10 7 10%
Kari Males 40 5 4 6 13%
Graeme Lang 15 4 4 1 27%
Rickie Alchin 3 0 0 1 0%
Tim Butt 8 0 0 0 0%
Phil Williamson 2 0 0 0 0%

Market Fluctuations

Price change since market open (Updated:4pm 13/12/18)
Runner Name Open Current Change
1 SPEEDING SPUR $2.5 $3.6 -12.20%
2 MONTY PYTHON $31 $41 -0.80%
3 SAVE OUR PENNYS $11 $19 -3.80%
4 ROMPERS MONARCHY $81 $151 -0.60%
5 BIG JACK HAMMER $26 $41 -1.40%
6 TORNADO VALLEY $1.9 $1.8 2.90%
7 SKY PETITE $71 $151 -0.70%
8 ILLAWONG ARMSTRONG (1E) $71 $81 -0.20%
9 TOUGH MONARCH $17 $16 0.40%
10 KINGDOM COME $71 $151 -0.70%
11 KYVALLEY BLUR $14 $17 -1.30%
12 WILMAS MATE $71 $151 -0.70%
13 RED HOT TOOTH $81 $151 -0.60%