Craig Rail has your tips, strategy and Quaddie for Friday afternoon at Mildura
Race 1:
OVERVIEW: STARVIN MARVIN (1) settled in eighth position, came out three horses wide at the 700m and finished off reasonably well for third behind Itz Blackjack last week. He hasn’t had much luck recently and gets his chance to return to winning form from the pole position. SNEAKY PHILTRA (4) has struck peak form having won three of her past four starts and she came from a long way back when an easy winner last week. She is stepping up in class but she is versatile and looms as one of the leading chances again. WHITEHAVEN BEACH (5) settled three back on the markers after commencing from the inside of the second line and held his ground at the end when fifth last week. He finished a close second behind Ronzel Micky prior and was a Mildura winner on July 03 so he is worth another chance. RED HOT MIKI (7) has the perfect trailing draw behind STARVIN MARVIN (1) and will run a good race if he can hold his composure around the first turn.
BACK: STARVIN MARVIN (1) – 1 unit (each way)
SELECTIONS: STARVIN MARVIN (1), SNEAKY PHILTRA (4), WHITEHAVEN BEACH (5), RED HOT MIKI (7)
Race 2:
OVERVIEW: DON CRUNCH (4) was beaten by a long way at Melton last week but he was held up for a run at a vital stage and the mile rate was a superb 1.51.8! He possesses a powerful finishing burst and this is a drop back in class so he should prove very hard to beat. JUST INCREDIBLE (8) is racing in peak form and looms as the logical danger. He produced a big finish to win comfortably at Mildura on July 17 and was placed behind the in-form pacer Kyoretsu last week. HELLO BEAUTIFUL (7) is stepping up in class from her past two South Australian victories but she sprinted sharply from behind the leader at her latest success so she cannot be discarded. BAZZAS LEGACY (2) has finished off nicely at his past two attempts and has claims along with the likely leader NO GOOD REASON (1).
SELECTIONS: DON CRUNCH (4), JUST INCREDIBLE (8), HELLO BEAUTIFUL (7), BAZZAS LEGACY (2)
Race 3:
OVERVIEW: HOT DEAL (3) boasts an exceptional record at Mildura having won ten races and he was very sharp at his first up victory over Ultimate Vinnie at Horsham where he finished swiftly from midfield in a mile rate of 1.55.1. He is versatile and should be fitter so he will prove hard to beat again. TOUGH AINT ENOUGH (2) began quickly to find the lead, copped pressure mid-race and kicked on strongly to win in a sizzling mile rate of 1.53.6 at Swan Hill last week. He is drawn to lead again and will take tossing. POWEROFPERSUASION (1) worked hard early then gained a trail mid-race and finished third behind Royal Appointment at Mildura last week. He is a good chance of trailing the leader from the pole position and should go well again. DON LOU (6) was racing in good company in Queensland, FORTY LOVE (7) was placed in the Mildura Cup three starts ago and MAXY WANTS TO PLAY (8) won many races at Mildura last season so it is a quality event.
SELECTIONS: HOT DEAL (3), TOUGH AINT ENOUGH (2), POWEROFPERSUASION (1), FORTY LOVE (7)
Race 4:
OVERVIEW: KEAYANG CRIPPA (7) pushed forward to race without cover and battled on fairly well for third behind Chalkncheddar at Mildura last week. He has the perfect draw behind the likely leader in GROVE DALE (1) and should be finishing off strongly. HESASTAR (8) settled in seventh and tried to sustain a long run out three horses wide from the 700m when a handy second in the race won by Chalkncheddar last week. He is yet to win in 24 starts for the season but he has been racing in good form against this class and he should be competitive again. EGBERT (6) was held up behind the tiring leader on the home turn and picked up some ground once he gained a clear passage when an unlucky fourth last week. He is poorly drawn but he is capable of filling a place. GROVE DALE (1) performed below expectations last week when he attempted to lead throughout and was headed before the home turn. He is usually competitive in the front running role over the sprint distance so he is a possible improver.
BACK: KEAYANG CRIPPA (7) – 1 unit (each way)
SELECTIONS: KEAYANG CRIPPA (7), GROVE DALE (1), HESASTAR (8), EGBERT (6)
Race 5:
OVERVIEW: GOOD BOOTS BINDI (8) produced a very good performance after racing without cover throughout at her latest brave second. She usually performs best when she gains a trail so it was a tidy display and she rates as a value chance. LEWIELEWIS (9) is a smart pacer when racing at his peak form and should be fitter after his latest fifth behind Savon De Roche. He recorded a slick mile of 1.56.3 at a Mildura victory towards the end of his last campaign so he must be respected. GUEST ARTIST (3) began quickly and attempted to find the lead early before angling onto the markers when a creditable fourth at Mildura last week. He should give a forward showing from his good draw. UNITED (2) is racing consistently against this class and is worth thought along with KYORETSU (4), BIGBASHASH (5) and THEBUCKSONYOU (7) in a strong race.
SELECTIONS: GOOD BOOTS BINDI (8), LEWIELEWIS (9), GUEST ARTIST (3), THEBUCKSONYOU (7)
Race 6:
OVERVIEW: YOU’VE BEEN SERVED (3) settled three back on the markers, came to the outside approaching the home turn and finished off well for a close second behind Capital Avenue at her debut. She should have benefited from the experience and is clearly the horse to beat. SANTA CASA LEVI (5) trailed the leader throughout and didn’t have much room in the straight when second behind the The Ninja last week. He is a fast beginner and is racing consistently so he warrants respect. ALL DONE TARA (2) attempted to lead early, angled in for a trail behind the speed and battled on fairly well for third last week. She is drawn to be close to the speed again and is worth a ticket each way. CAPTIVATE ME (4) was heavily supported, gained a nice trail and held his ground in the straight when third last week. He should be fitter from that run and is not without a chance.
BACK: YOU’VE BEEN SERVED (3) – 3 units (win)
SELECTIONS: YOU’VE BEEN SERVED (3), SANTA CASA LEVI (5), ALL DONE TARA (2), CAPTIVATE ME (4)
Race 7:
OVERVIEW: THE LADYBIRD (3) has been racing well in the South-East and will find this race to be easier. She has won at Mildura previously and is drawn to gain a trail just behind the leaders so she is worth an investment. THE DEVIL ROLLS ON (1) will appreciate his best draw for a long time and didn’t enjoy the best of luck when fifth behind Sneaky Philtra last week. He is better than his numerical form suggests and is a possible improver. DAYLIGHT (8) gained a nice trail and finished off best to win clearly at Mildura on July 17 then finished off well for second behind the in-form mare Sneaky Philtra last week. She has struck peak form and should be finishing off strongly. DIAMOND KRUSHER (2) ran her best race for a long time when she began quickly to find the lead, kicked clear on the turn and was run down at the end on Friday afternoon. She is drawn to find the lead again so she has claims in an open race.
SELECTIONS: THE LADYBIRD (3), THE DEVIL ROLLS ON (1), DAYLIGHT (8), DIAMOND KRUSHER (2)
Race 8:
OVERVIEW: HUNGRY HOGARTH (1) attempted to lead throughout when third behind Eyesealittle in a stronger race at Charlton on July 06. He hasn’t been far away at his past two attempts and is a good chance of leading throughout under these conditions. WATCH THE ATTITUDE (4) is a versatile pacer, which is racing in good form and looms as one of the leading chances again. She pushed forward to race without cover and battled on strongly for second behind Yarraman Jolt last week. AMIRA MARIE (10) is a speedy mare, which recorded a slick mile rate of 1.57.0 at a Globe Derby victory on July 13. She performed below expectations when unplaced at Globe Derby on Saturday night but she can sprint to the line quickly with the right trail forward and is worth another chance. CHEERS POVERTY (7) commenced from the inside of the second line, settled four back on the markers and didn’t have much room in the straight when an unlucky fifth last week. He has the perfect trailing draw behind HUNGRY HOGARTH (1) here so he is worth thought in multiple combinations.
BACK: HUNGRY HOGARTH (1) – 3 units (win)
SELECTIONS: HUNGRY HOGARTH (1), WATCH THE ATTITUDE (4), AMIRA MARIE (10), CHEERS POVERTY (7)
10-UNIT GAME PLAN
Race 1 No.1 Starvin Marvin – 1 unit (each way)
Race 4 No.7 Keayang Crippa – 1 unit (each way)
Race 6 No.3 You’ve Been Served – 3 units (win)
Race 8 No.1 Hungry Hogarth – 3 units (win)
EARLY QUADDIE (Cost $40, gives 50%)
1,4/ 4,8/ 1,2,3,6,7/ 1,6,7,8
QUADDIE (Cost $35, gives 25%)
2,3,4,5,7,8,9/ 2,3,4,5/ 1,2,3,6,8/ 1
The odds quoted on the fields page are a GoodForm generated price estimate based on a range of key form factors and are not necessarily the odds that may be offered by a licensed bookmaker.
For all your harness form in one place go to goodform.thetrots.com.au
** A betting unit is typically a percentage of the total bankroll or the amount of money you are willing to risk on a particular bet – for example 1 unit is 10% of your bankroll, therefore a $100 bankroll 1 unit equals $10
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