Craig Rail has the selections, strategy and Quaddie for Tuesday night at Mildura
Race 1:
OVERVIEW: FLEUR BELLA (1) won twice in succession at Mildura prior to a sixth at Swan Hill, where she led out then took cover. She is a fast beginner and she boasts the terrific record of three wins from six starts on the track so she warrants respect. CAPTAIN PAPRIKA (3) began very quickly from a wide draw and ran along at a genuine tempo when he scored at Globe Derby last outing. He is drawn to obtain a prominent position again and is worth an investment. PUNTO CALIENTE (10) finished off solidly for a game second at Mildura last outing. He will be aided by the two withdrawals on the second line and should be finishing off strongly. HESASTAR (6) is a fast beginner and is usually competitive against this class so he cannot be discarded. KEAYANG CRIPPA (5) was a winner against similar grade at Mildura two starts ago and is worth an investment.
SELECTIONS: FLEUR BELLA (1), CAPTAIN PAPRIKA (3), PUNTO CALIENTE (10), HESASTAR (6)
Race 2:
OVERVIEW: THE LADYBIRD (10) recorded a handy mile rate of 1.57.7 when she scored at Horsham three starts ago and appears to be well placed against this line up. She is capable of sprinting to the line quickly with the right trail forward so being drawn on the second line isn’t a big disadvantage. DAYSIE BROWN (7) will be relying on ELISSAS DELIGHT (1) holding a forward position at the start but her form last preparation would suggest she is capable of being very competitive. DIAMOND KRUSHER (8) was a winner at Mildura on September 04 after she led throughout. She has done well at Mildura this season and has claims despite being drawn on the second line. ELISSAS DELIGHT (1) is a fast beginner and finished fourth after setting the speed over the longer distance two starts ago so she is capable of filling a place.
SELECTIONS: THE LADYBIRD (10), DAYSIE BROWN (7), DIAMOND KRUSHER (8), ELISSAS DELIGHT (1)
Race 3:
OVERVIEW: OUR MONARCH (4) is a South Australian trained pacer, which won a trial at Globe Derby then followed with a third at a Gawler trial performance in handy time. She obviously has ability and strikes a suitable assignment first up. ALWAYS BENEFITS (2) was resuming since June when he worked home well from midfield and finished fourth behind Kaidenboy at Charlton. He is better drawn for this assignment and is not without a chance. LITLMAX (6) is backing up quickly from her performance at Mildura on Friday but she was confidently driven when second at her debut performance and has the ability to feature prominently. LATHER WITH FIRE (10) is also backing up quickly from Friday afternoon’s Mildura meeting and she won a trial at Shepparton prior so she cannot be dismissed.
BACK: OUR MONARCH (4) – 3 units (win)
SELECTIONS: OUR MONARCH (4), ALWAYS BENEFITS (2), LITLMAX (6), LATHER WITH FIRE (10)
Race 4:
OVERVIEW: ACCELERE (5) is yet to miss a place in seven starts for the season and should run his usual honest race. He worked hard from a similar wide draw to find the lead and battled on nicely for second behind the smart juvenile pacer Bettorbust at Mildura last outing. HOOKLINEANDSINKER (6) suffered atrial fibrillation and was retired out of the race at Mildura last outing. He recorded handy time after working forward to find the front at Globe Derby prior so he is worth another chance. LORD MYRMECIA (1) finished off fast when an eye-catching second at Globe Derby on September 22. He is ideally drawn and looms as one of the leading chances. The South Australian trained pacers TWO WAY WONDER (3) and HARLEM TOWN (4) are both worth thought despite being unplaced at their past few attempts and CALF PEN (7) is usually competitive against this class.
BACK: ACCELERE (5) – 1 unit (each way)
SELECTIONS: ACCELERE (5), HOOKLINEANDSINKER (6), LORD MYRMECIA (1), TWO WAY WONDER (3)
Race 5:
OVERVIEW: BAZZAS LEGACY (4) is racing consistently and deserves to break through for a win. He finished third behind Tooram Danny in a stronger race at Swan Hill three starts ago, which is a strong form pointer for this event. WINSHEMAY (9) is the only horse in this race that wasn’t nominated for Friday afternoon’s meeting. She was impressive when winning on debut and was runner up behind the tightly assessed performer Noble Trick at a recent trial effort so she must be respected. KEAYANG SHADOWBOX (8) has been steadily working back into his best form and strikes a winnable assignment now. He wasn’t beaten by far when second behind the classy pacer The Golden Hook at Mildura on October 20. HELLAVA DEAL (7) was competing against stronger opposition when she was last in work. She is awkwardly drawn but should be finding the line well.
SELECTIONS: BAZZAS LEGACY (4), WINSHEMAY (9), KEAYANG SHADOWBOX (8), HELLAVA DEAL (7)
Race 6:
OVERVIEW: CEMETERY BAY (1) has been competing against the open class pacers at Mildura and appears to be well graded in this event. His last win at Mildura was in a much harder race (National Rating 60-75) back in August and he is perfectly drawn for this assignment. GOOD BOOTS BINDI (2) is a handy sprinter and is perfectly drawn to gain a trail just behind the speed so she should be dangerous at the end. SHIRLEY NOT (3) has been racing in career best form with three recent Mildura victories to her credit. She is stepping up in grade but she is versatile and should make her presence felt. ROYAL SAXON (6) will need some luck from the wide draw but he ran a strong race for third behind SHIRLEY NOT (3) on October 20 and will go well with normal luck in running.
BACK: CEMETERY BAY (1) – 1.5 units (each way)
SELECTIONS: CEMETERY BAY (1), GOOD BOOTS BINDI (2), SHIRLEY NOT (3), ROYAL SAXON (6)
Race 7:
OVERVIEW: HAPPY AS CAN BE (3) finished fourth in a heat of the South Australian Cup then followed with a seventh in the Final. He will enjoy racing against this class and is drawn to go close. CAULONIA TERROR (5) was a winner at Mildura on September 18 and he was unlucky behind Lower Manhattan two starts ago as he was held up behind tiring horses at the 700m mark. He is likely to settle in the second half of the field from his awkward alley but he should be hitting the line strongly. MY ULTIMATE BILLY (2) was placed behind the in-form pacer The Golden Hook two starts ago and wasn’t far away at his latest fifth. He is worth a ticket each way from his good draw. FOXY TWO GLOVES (4) led out then took cover when a game second behind the Emma Stewart prepared Star Vision on Swan Hill Cup night so a bold showing is expected.
SELECTIONS: HAPPY AS CAN BE (3), CAULONIA TERROR (5), MY ULTIMATE BILLY (2), FOXY TWO GLOVES (4)
Race 8:
OVERVIEW: SHUDABOUGHTABOAT (1) performed very well at the trials prior to a third behind the smart South Australian pacer Rankine when resuming. He should be building on his fitness and will take beating from the pole position. EAGLEYE (2) has been racing very consistently and ran a game race behind Talknplay at Swan Hill two starts ago, where she was held up for a run at a vital stage and finished off solidly. This race is no harder and she worth thought again. HILLTOP CRUNCH (8) has remained undefeated in two starts since resuming from a break and should gain an economical run from his trailing draw so there is no reason why he can’t win again. CLARENDEN ARCADIA (3) and MY ULTIMATE HENRY (6) are both racing well enough to figure in the finish.
BACK: SHUDABOUGHTABOAT (1) – 1 unit (each way)
SELECTIONS: SHUDABOUGHTABOAT (1), EAGLEYE (2), HILLTOP CRUNCH (8), MY ULTIMATE HENRY (6)
10-UNIT GAME PLAN
Race 3 No.4 Our Monarch – 3 units (win)
Race 4 No.5 Accelere – 1 unit (each way)
Race 6 No.1 Cemetery Bay – 1.5 units (each way)
Race 8 No.1 Shudaboughtaboat – 1 unit (each way)
EARLY QUADDIE (Cost $45, gives 25%)
1,3,5,6,10/ 7,8,10/ 2,4,6,10/ 1,5,6
QUADDIE (Cost $48, gives 16.66%)
4,7,8,9/ 1,2,3,6/ 1,2,3,4,5,8/ 1,2,8
The odds quoted on the fields page are a GoodForm generated price estimate based on a range of key form factors and are not necessarily the odds that may be offered by a licensed bookmaker.
For all your harness form in one place go to goodform.thetrots.com.au
** A betting unit is typically a percentage of the total bankroll or the amount of money you are willing to risk on a particular bet – for example 1 unit is 10% of your bankroll, therefore a $100 bankroll 1 unit equals $10
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