Race 5 - E B COCHRAN TROTTERS CUP (GROUP 2)

powererd by  
 
No. Horse Class Gate Speed Pattern Price
1 SAVANNAH JAY JAY 2 SS $34
2 DELTASUN 1 V $14
3 PIZZA QUEEN USA 2 SS $7.5
4 SAVE OUR PENNYS 3 LV $1.8
5 DANCE CRAZE 2 V $3.5
6 FABRICATION 1 SS $51
7 SKY PETITE 3 LV $6
8 BIG JACK HAMMER   V $12
 

SS=Sit Sprinter V=Versatile E=Enforcer L=Leader

OVERVIEW:It sounds horrible but given Tornado Valley’s freakish dominance in Australia’s trotting ranks right now it’s actually nice to witness our second squaregaiting feature in as many weeks where his absence signifies an opportunity for Victoria’s other top-end trotters; and no trotter deserves a big-race triumph more than SAVE OUR PENNYS (4). It’s almost flabbergasting to think that Gavin Lang’s gun 7YO has been beaten by Tornado Valley in each of his past five starts and on four of those occasions he’s beaten everybody else. Tonight he’ll be driven with significant early urgency and if he finds the front as expected the race is at his mercy; particularly without the presence of a brutal breeze horse to upset his rhythm. On raw ability the only serious threat is DANCE CRAZE (5) who appears capable of anything on her night but who was well below her best in the Maori Mile last start and must contend with a draw which will cruel any tactical edge she may have hoped to have. Pretty much every other runner in the race in this Cochran cup is worth considering for wider exotics but the best value lies with PIZZA QUEEN (3) who was huge in the Maori Mile and still doesn’t get the respect she’s definitely earned in recent weeks while SKY PETITE (7) must also warrant huge respect despite tiring late in last week’s George Gath at Shepparton.

Selections

Proudly brought to you by Goodform
  Jason Blake
SAVE OUR PENNYS (4) SAVE OUR PENNYS (4)
DANCE CRAZE (5) DANCE CRAZE (5)
PIZZA QUEEN (3) PIZZA QUEEN (3)
4th SKY PETITE (7) SKY PETITE (7)

Suggested Bet (Jason): SAVE OUR PENNYS (4) To Win

Suggested Bet (Blake): Flexi Trifecta 4/3,4,7/1,2,3,4,7 for $20 gets 166.67%

Barrier Stats

Tabcorp Park Melton (Last 12 Months)
# Wins (Starts) # Wins (Starts)
1 39 (248) 8 16 (161)
2 28 (249) 9 12 (106)
3 32 (249) 10 13 (66)
4 29 (249) 11 4 (39)
5 37 (246) 12 2 (15)
6 21 (225) 13 0 (5)
7 16 (133)    

Driver Stats

Last 12 Months @ Melton (Drivers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Gavin Lang 54 11 9 9 20%
Kima Frenning 27 8 4 4 30%
Ryan Duffy 31 7 2 7 23%
Rodney Petroff 38 5 7 10 13%
Kerryn Manning 40 3 8 2 8%
Neil McCallum 31 3 3 4 10%
John Caldow 35 2 8 3 6%

Trainer Stats

Last 12 Months @ Melton (Trainers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Michael Stanley 26 11 1 2 42%
Anton Golino 34 6 4 6 18%
David Aiken 12 2 6 2 17%
David Abrahams 5 0 1 0 0%
Terry Young 3 0 1 0 0%
Stan Cameron 1 0 0 0 0%

Market Fluctuations

Price change since market open (Updated:4pm 17/01/19)
Runner Name Open Current Change
1 SAVANNAH JAY JAY $11 $13 -1.40%
2 DELTASUN $8 $9.5 -2.00%
3 PIZZA QUEEN $17 $16 0.40%
4 SAVE OUR PENNYS $2.7 $2 13.00%
5 DANCE CRAZE $3.5 $4 -3.60%
6 FABRICATION $11 $18 -3.50%
7 SKY PETITE $5 $6 -3.30%
8 BIG JACK HAMMER $11 $12 -0.80%