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Form Analyst: Luke Humphreys’


Race 1 - EUSTON CLUB MAIDEN PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.ILLAWONG MIMI $2.40
2.TANGAROA $14.00
3.DONT PLAY GAMES $31.00
4.MISS REMBRANDT $7.50
5.LIKAVEEEIGHT $11.00
6.CABALLO DIABLO $5.00
Second Row
7.PUOPOLO $21.00
8.BRAEVIEW FELLA $3.00
9.ARTISTICBUTNAUGHTY $51.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ARTISTICBUTNAUGHTY
PUOPOLO
ILLAWONG MIMI
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TANGAROA
DONT PLAY GAMES
MISS REMBRANDT
LIKAVEEEIGHT
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CABALLO DIABLO
BRAEVIEW FELLA

 

OVERVIEW: ILLAWONG MIMI (1) has had the 21 attempts to break through but should be hard to beat on her Sunraysia debut from the pegs draw. This looks a good chance for her to break through on debut for Luke Watson. Stablemate BRAEVIEW FELLA (8) led most of the way last week on his local debut and was only run down in the home straight. He looks the other main chance in this maiden along with CABALLO DIABLO (6) who had little luck last week and can’t be forgotten along with the consistent MISS REMBRANDT (4) but more so a place perspective with her as she is still a maiden from 28 tries.

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader), 2, 4? 6?

RATINGS: 1 / 8 / 6 / 4 / 5 / 3 / 2 / 7 / 9

SELECTIONS: ILLAWONG MIMI (1), BRAEVIEW FELLA (8), CABALLO DIABLO (6), MISS REMBRANDT (4)

 

Race 2 - THE GATEWAY PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.SIEDRA CALEB $3.00
2.CELEBRITA $51.00
3.ONA IMPULSE $14.00
4.CALGARY BAY $14.00
5.MINIKA $4.00
6.SHE CAN ROCK $11.00
Second Row
7.PATTYS ANGEL $4.00
8.ART OF OZTREOS $101.00
9.COCO BEACH $4.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CELEBRITA
ART OF OZTREOS
PATTYS ANGEL
SIEDRA CALEB
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SHE CAN ROCK
MINIKA
ONA IMPULSE
CALGARY BAY
COCO BEACH
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: PATTYS ANGEL (7) is dropping in class for this race and whilst she has the nice trailing draw on the peg line that does mean she can’t use her gate speed. However, with a bit of luck when it matters, she should go very close against this class and against her own sex. MINIKA (5) has had the two local attempts and hasn’t been disgraced both times in fairly strong three-year-old races. Here she takes on her elders but can’t be ruled out. Very similar can be said for COCO BEACH (9) whilst SIEDRA CALEB (1) is the interesting runner on debut for Reece Moore with a recent trial second on Sunday.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 3, 4

RATINGS: 7 / 5 / 9 / 1 / 6 / 4 / 3 / 2 / 8

SELECTIONS: PATTYS ANGEL (7), MINIKA (5), COCO BEACH (9), SIEDRA CALEB (1)

 

Race 3 - WELCOME BACK DR MEGAN GINNIFER PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.SHADYS PURSUIT $4.40
2.CHARLIE KNEW $21.00
3.CLONTARF GUY $17.00
4.OPAL CROWN $21.00
5.WARATAH BEACH Em 1$
6.TIMMY LIMOUSINE $11.00
Second Row
7.WOODY NIGHTSHADE $11.00
8.HAVEACHEW $5.50
9.ALWAYS A CELEBRITY $5.00
10.BEZZABOMA $5.00
11.OLLIE AND BROCK $5.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OPAL CROWN
WOODY NIGHTSHADE
SHADYS PURSUIT
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CHARLIE KNEW
WARATAH BEACH
BEZZABOMA
OLLIE AND BROCK
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TIMMY LIMOUSINE
ALWAYS A CELEBRITY
HAVEACHEW

 

OVERVIEW: This would be the hardest race of the afternoon. SHADYS PURSUIT (1) had little luck first-up before dropping right out at his most recent run two weeks ago against stronger. He has since worked home well at the trials for a second, so he gets the nod from the draw. ALWAYS A CELEBRITY (9) was fifth in that trial and is better than what he showed first-up and this level of race suits. BEZZABOMA (10) is in-form and keeps racing well whilst OLLIE AND BROCK (11) is naturally a chance but knocked up last week. The other chances are HAVEACHEW (8), WARATAH BEACH (5), TIMMY LIMOUSINE (6) and also WOODY NIGHTSHADE (7).

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 3? 5?

RATINGS: 1 / 9 / 10 / 11 / 8 / 5 / 7 / 6 / 3 / 2 / 4

SELECTIONS: SHADYS PURSUIT (1), ALWAYS A CELEBRITY (9), BEZZABOMA (10), OLLIE AND BROCK (11)

 

Race 4 - PARK DOUGLAS PRINTING 3YO PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.WATCHMEDANCE $101.00
2.PROMISE ME HEAVEN $21.00
3.MAJOR MAL $2.20
4.ILLAWONG PARRIS $11.00
5.MIRADERO $4.00
6.AUSSIE CASH $101.00
Second Row
7.MALACHITE ROCK $14.00
8.CALL ME HENRY $5.00
9.TOPZAVSKI $5.00
10.LOYOLA ROCKNROLLA $101.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AUSSIE CASH
LOYOLA ROCKNROLLA
MALACHITE ROCK
WATCHMEDANCE
MAJOR MAL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PROMISE ME HEAVEN
ILLAWONG PARRIS
MIRADERO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TOPZAVSKI
CALL ME HENRY

 

OVERVIEW: MAJOR MAL (3) has a bit to learn so it is a risk making him the best and a Quaddie anchor but after doing things wrong on debut for Boris Devcic he did it all right at the trials in impressive time. If he can go as good as what he did there, he will be hard to catch. MIRADERO (5) has done little wrong in three local starts but she might not be able to find the pegs this time. TOPZAVSKI (9) rates next with CALL ME HENRY (8) who beat most of these last week after having the run of the race, but this time is on the second line.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 3 (Leader), 4, 5

RATINGS: 3 / 5 / 9 / 8 / 4 / 2 / 7 / 1 / 6 / 10

SELECTIONS: MAJOR MAL (3), MIRADERO (5), TOPZAVSKI (9), CALL ME HENRY (8)

 

Race 5 - TASCO PETROLEUM PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.GARABALDI UNION $101.00
2.THERMAL REACTOR $21.00
3.TELL US WE DREAM $31.00
4.TALE OF THE DRAGON $3.00
5.LETTUCEVENTILATE $14.00
6.TROOPER MOSSMAN $5.00
Second Row
7.SPRINGFIELD SHADOW Em 1$
8.EMERGING ART $26.00
9.OUTA CONTROL $14.00
10.VALIANT GEM $3.00
11.HARD ROCK SHANNON $5.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
EMERGING ART
GARABALDI UNION
THERMAL REACTOR
TALE OF THE DRAGON
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TELL US WE DREAM
LETTUCEVENTILATE
TROOPER MOSSMAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OUTA CONTROL
VALIANT GEM
HARD ROCK SHANNON

 

OVERVIEW: VALIANT GEM (10) has a second line draw over the sprint trip but continues to race consistently. She has had two easy wins in her last six starts and in this she drops in class from her last two starts and worked home well last start after never being a chance in the run. TALE OF THE DRAGON (4) has the draw to close and has been close-up recently. TROOPER MOSSMAN (6) is outside the front row but is back down to his preferred sprint trip and has been racing well so he has to be a big chance. HARD ROCK SHANNON (11) is the other main chance in this Quaddie opener.

EARLY SPEED: 2, 4, 6

RATINGS: 10 / 4 / 6 / 11 / 9 / 2 / 5 / 3 / 8 / 1

SELECTIONS: VALIANT GEM (10), TALE OF THE DRAGON (4), TROOPER MOSSMAN (6), HARD ROCK SHANNON (11)

 

Race 6 - TANKARD DENTAL - HAPPY BIRTHDAY DANIEL TANKARD PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.YES SHESASTAR $4.00
2.SMOOTH DELIGHT NZ $21.00
3.URELLA FELLA Em 1$
4.KELLYS IDEAL $21.00
5.BELLA CULLEN $11.00
6.LARWOOD $101.00
Second Row
7.TUNZA TENACITY $1.50
8.RUBBERS DILEMMA $21.00
9.GOVINNI $14.00
10.FORTITUDO $41.00
11.LORNE BEACH $11.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
LARWOOD
FORTITUDO
RUBBERS DILEMMA
TUNZA TENACITY
YES SHESASTAR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SMOOTH DELIGHT NZ
KELLYS IDEAL
BELLA CULLEN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GOVINNI
LORNE BEACH

 

OVERVIEW: TUNZA TENACITY (7) has been ultra-impressive in two starts for Lachlan Prothero running good time and winning easily both times. Naturally, he is up in class again, but it isn’t much harder than the race he won last week but he does have that sticky inside second line draw. YES SHESASTAR (1) is drawn directly in front of TUNZA TENACITY (7). She won well two back before being best of the rest behind TUNZA TENACITY (7) last week. She is going well, and the start will be interesting in regard to their chances. RUBBERS DILEMMA (8), BELLA CULLEN (5), LORNE BEACH (11), KELLYS IDEAL (4) and GOVINNI (9) are all place chances.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 3? 4? 5?

RATINGS: 7 / 1 / 8 / 5 / 11 / 4 / 9 / 3 / 2 / 10 / 6

SELECTIONS: TUNZA TENACITY (7), YES SHESASTAR (1), RUBBERS DILEMMA (8), BELLA CULLEN (5)

 

Race 7 - TENDERPRINT AUSTRALIA PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.WOTCHAWAITINGFOR $17.00
2.SMYNANNA MICKEY $11.00
3.HEZA REDDY $51.00
4.CARLOAD $14.00
5.CAUSENFRICTION $11.00
6.KOTARE YORK NZ $21.00
Second Row
7.AUGUSTUS JACK $5.00
8.MURRANJI TRACK $11.00
9.BERNIE WINKLE NZ $1.50
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
WOTCHAWAITINGFOR
SMYNANNA MICKEY
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CAUSENFRICTION
HEZA REDDY
CARLOAD
KOTARE YORK NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MURRANJI TRACK
BERNIE WINKLE NZ
AUGUSTUS JACK

 

OVERVIEW: BERNIE WINKLE (9) just keeps on eating up these same horses’ week in week out and really what is there to say that he won’t do it again in this race? In saying that surely the winning streak will come to an end at some point, but you’d be pretty brave to tip against him as he looks to complete the picket fence/five timer. AUGUSTUS JACK (7) was third last week and continues to go well. SMYNANNA MICKEY (2) is first-up for a month so she adds some intrigue whilst CAUSENFRICTION (5) flew for second last week. MURRANJI TRACK (8) got going late last week but overall he was a tad disappointing.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5?

RATINGS: 9 / 7 / 2 / 5 / 8 / 4 / 1 / 6 / 3

SELECTIONS: BERNIE WINKLE (9), AUGUSTUS JACK (7), SMYNANNA MICKEY (2), CAUSENFRICTION (5)

 

Race 8 - MILDURA PLUMBTEC PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.URELLA FELLA Em 1$
2.WITHOUT HESITATION $4.00
3.SANDOVAL NZ $41.00
4.RHYFLECTIVE $21.00
5.VICSTAR SHARAZZZ $11.00
6.A ROCKNROLL JET $11.00
Second Row
7.CLASSIC ARC $4.00
8.GOOD ONYA $21.00
9.GENUINE EXCUSE NZ $101.00
10.BETTOR B NICE NZ $3.50
11.RENAISSANCE ART $4.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GENUINE EXCUSE NZ
CLASSIC ARC
WITHOUT HESITATION
SANDOVAL NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
A ROCKNROLL JET
RHYFLECTIVE
VICSTAR SHARAZZZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GOOD ONYA
BETTOR B NICE NZ
RENAISSANCE ART

 

OVERVIEW: GOOD ONYA (8) is a sit-sprinter that relies on the race to be run at a decent speed whilst enjoying an economical run and then dive bomb at the leaders late as they tie up. His last two runs have really caught the eye and he has to be a strong each-way chance. BETTOR B NICE (10) beat him two weeks ago before a second last week when just getting out a tad too late. His two runs since that ordinary looking fall at Ouyen have been good. RENAISSANCE ART (11) rates highly obviously but again has that tough draw whilst CLASSIC ARC (7) and WITHOUT HESITATION (2) are the other main chances.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2? 3, 4, 5

RATINGS: 8 / 10 / 11 / 7 / 2 / 1 / 6 / 5 / 4 / 3 / 9

SELECTIONS: GOOD ONYA (8), BETTOR B NICE (10), RENAISSANCE ART (11), CLASSIC ARC (7)

 

Form Analyst: Blake Redden


Race 1 - BARASTOC PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.IM SCORCHING $17.00
2.CAMSTAR ROAD Em 1$
3.WELL WELL $10.00
4.BENSONFIRE $10.00
5.MEGIDDO $5.50
6.KIWI KALAHARI $26.00
7.HYPERVIGILANT $6.50
Second Row
8.COBBER MAC $4.00
9.A GOOD KNIGHT $5.00
10.ARGY BARGY $5.50
11.PIRATESOF ZANZIBAR $12.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PIRATESOF ZANZIBAR
COBBER MAC
IM SCORCHING
WELL WELL
MEGIDDO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
KIWI KALAHARI
ARGY BARGY
A GOOD KNIGHT
BENSONFIRE
HYPERVIGILANT
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: ARGY BARGY (10) led and roared away in an easy race last time. He’s not easy to line up here but he was good when parked out prior and he looks a progressive enough type so he gets the nod tonight. COBBER MAC (8) did the work before being left in front last time but he battled like a trojan to only go down narrowly at the finish and with any luck he’ll play a role in this race late. WELL WELL (3) was never in the race before breaking last time but deserves respect based on the prior run. MEGIDDO (5) is arguably the most interesting runner and has to go into Quaddies while A GOOD KNIGHT (9) and HYPERVIGILANT (7) are next best.

             

EARLY SPEED: 5 (Potential leader) + 3 + 7

RATINGS: 10/ 8/ 3/ 5/ 9/ 7/ 4/ 11/ 1/ 6.

SELECTIONS: ARGY BARGY (10), COBBER MAC (8), WELL WELL (3), MEGIDDO (5).

 

Race 2 - ALABAR MAIDEN PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.TASMA FLASH $14.00
2.CLEVER COWBOY $6.50
3.NOT SO BIG $11.00
4.CAESAR MOON Em 1$
5.SIMPLY HEAVENLY $8.00
6.FLAMIN ALICE $2.50
7.FALLING SHARDS $21.00
Second Row
8.BABYLON BAMBI $11.00
9.THE BUTCHER $11.00
10.PAYUP ORLEAVE $4.50
11.RAMBLEON $21.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FALLING SHARDS
RAMBLEON
THE BUTCHER
BABYLON BAMBI
TASMA FLASH
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FLAMIN ALICE
SIMPLY HEAVENLY
PAYUP ORLEAVE
NOT SO BIG
CLEVER COWBOY
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: FLAMIN ALICE (6) made good ground from the one by one last time and she’s working towards a peak performance so in a race without heaps of exposed form which looks as strong as hers, it's hard to oppose here. PAYUP ORLEAVE (10) clearly has ability but he’s still got things to learn. That said, he can win here. CLEVER COWBOY (2) is somewhat surprisingly still a maiden but he looks well placed here while SIMPLY HEAVENLY (5) and the debutante BABYLON BAMBI (8) round out the key first four threats.

             

EARLY SPEED: 1,2

RATINGS: 6/ 10/ 2/ 5/ 8/ 3/ 9/ 1/ 11/ 7.

SELECTIONS: FLAMIN ALICE (6), PAYUP ORLEAVE (10), CLEVER COWBOY (2), SIMPLY HEAVENLY (5).

 

Race 3 - CENTRAL TYRE SERVICE 2YO PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.OZZIE PLAYGIRL $10.00
2.MADE TO ROCK $21.00
3.CHEYELLA $34.00
4.QUICK DAN $3.50
5.VIVA LA ROCK $2.10
6.VALKYRIE $4.20
7.LESTER $6.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CHEYELLA
OZZIE PLAYGIRL
QUICK DAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
LESTER
VIVA LA ROCK
MADE TO ROCK
VALKYRIE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: VIVA LA ROCK (5) sat parked in some pretty slow splits before winning narrowly as a short priced favourite last time out but there’s an argument to be made that the speed of the race brought some others into it and he did lift late under pressure so it’s worth backing him in to improve out of that. QUICK DAN (4) didn’t appear to have heaps of excuses when looking the winner at the top of the lane last time but he was beaten by a debutante and they gapped the rest of the runners so it should stand up as a form reference. LESTER (7) was good under the circumstances last time and is nearing his first win but the draw may hurt him a fraction here. OZZIE PLAYGIRL (1) also goes into trifectas.

             

EARLY SPEED:  4 (Potential leader) + 1

RATINGS: 5/ 4/ 7/ 1/ 2/ 3.

SELECTIONS: VIVA LA ROCK (5), QUICK DAN (4), LESTER (7), OZZIE PLAYGIRL (1)

 

Race 4 - COTTRELL ELECTRICAL TROTTERS HANDICAP

No.HorsePrice
1.LITTLE MISS CHLO $9.00
2.STARLIGHT RED $12.00
3.ALDEBARAN SUNDOWN $9.00
4.MICHAELS MENAME Em 1$
5.REGAL ASSASSIN NZ $3.00
6.MISS TIPSY $21.00
7.DELAROSE $12.00
Second Row
8.IMA CALVERT ROSE $16.00
9.GET SMART MAX $16.00
10.ANTIOPE $4.20
11.CAPRIOSKA $4.60
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DELAROSE
IMA CALVERT ROSE
STARLIGHT RED
LITTLE MISS CHLO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GET SMART MAX
REGAL ASSASSIN NZ
ALDEBARAN SUNDOWN
ANTIOPE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MISS TIPSY
CAPRIOSKA
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: REGAL ASSASSIN (5) looked like he was back in fine fettle when he hooked onto the bridle in a recent Bendigo trial but he had a big kick in the locker at the finish and he’s worth taking a punt on here as the x-factor. ANTIOPE (10) continues to race well and she’ll put herself in the race at some stage. CAPRIOSKA (11) and LITTLE MISS CHLO (1) are the other obvious knockout hopes for exotics however ALDEBARAN SUNDOWN (3) and STARLIGHT RED (2) also deserves consideration.

             

EARLY SPEED:  1 (Likely leader) + 2,3?

RATINGS: 5/ 10/ 11/ 1/ 3/ 2/ 7/ 8/ 9/ 6.

SELECTIONS: REGAL ASSASSIN (5), ANTIOPE (10), CAPRIOSKA (11), LITTLE MISS CHLO (1).

 

Race 5 - HUNTER RURAL 3YO PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.ROCKS CAN ROLL Em 1$
2.LAST ARTIST $7.50
3.HARD ROAD $21.00
4.CARIJOY $21.00
5.ALITTLEBITOFFTAP $7.50
6.ALTE $6.50
7.ORBIE $3.50
Second Row
8.UBETCHA $12.00
9.PEPPA BLISS $8.50
10.KOSIMO $6.00
11.LOUISIANA JO $6.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PEPPA BLISS
UBETCHA
LAST ARTIST
ALTE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ORBIE
CARIJOY
HARD ROAD
ALITTLEBITOFFTAP
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
LOUISIANA JO
KOSIMO
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: ORBIE (7) didn’t break the clock but it was hard not to be impressed with the way she finished off to notch her maiden win and in a race where nothing looks obvious. She’s a serious hope. KOSIMO (10) is similarly a last start winner and the visuals were also quite impressive so he’s a must for Quaddies. ALITTLEBITOFFTAP (5) might be starting to turn the corner and he clearly has talent. LOUISIANA JO (11) and ALTE (6) are hard to rule out as winning hopes but the former may need the pace on with the latter hoping for an easy lead.

             

EARLY SPEED:  6 (Potential leader) + 2,5

RATINGS: 7/ 10/ 5/ 11/ 6/ 2/ 9/ 8/ 4/ 3.

SELECTIONS: ORBIE (7), KOSIMO (10), ALITTLEBITOFFTAP (5), LOUISIANA JO (11).

 

Race 6 - SADDLEWORLD SHEPPARTON TROT

No.HorsePrice
1.BRO CREED Em 1$
2.PRETTYLILANGUS $34.00
3.BARHOON $14.00
4.ALDEBARAN POPPY $51.00
5.FATOUCHE $11.00
6.STORM CLOUD $3.20
7.ALL THE MUSCLES $2.10
Second Row
8.ROYAL CHARLOTTE $8.00
9.NEEDABACARDI $11.00
10.BALL PARK $16.00
11.COUNT BACARDI $14.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
COUNT BACARDI
ROYAL CHARLOTTE
PRETTYLILANGUS
BARHOON
STORM CLOUD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FATOUCHE
BALL PARK
NEEDABACARDI
ALDEBARAN POPPY
ALL THE MUSCLES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: ALL THE MUSCLES (7) took a good step forward in his preparation with a dominant win second-up and while this is going to be a race which produces plenty of winners going forward, he looks the one to beat. STORM CLOUD (6) couldn’t have done much more in three wins since a break and he would not shock whatsoever. ROYAL CHARLOTTE (8) may requite luck at some stage but she’s not without claims while NEEDABACARDI (9), FATOUCHE (5), BARHOON (3) and COUNT BACARDI (11) are all in the conversation for first four punters.

             

EARLY SPEED:  6 (Potential leader) + 3,7

RATINGS: 7/ 6/ 8/ 9/ 5/ 3/ 11/ 10/ 2/ 4.

SELECTIONS: ALL THE MUSCLES (7), STORM CLOUD (6), ROYAL CHARLOTTE (8), NEEDABACRDI (9).

 

Race 7 - NEATLINE HOMES PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.ABOVE AVERAGE $14.00
2.MELINKA $21.00
3.CLEM MCARDLE $26.00
4.HAYJOSHANDCO $12.00
5.POSTAL EXPRESS $6.00
6.EXCITER $3.00
7.JUST RALPH Em 1$
Second Row
8.COOL ROCKING DADDY $7.00
9.CRESCO THREEPEAT $14.00
10.GOLDEN SAND $14.00
11.ADELAIDE BAY $3.20
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MELINKA
COOL ROCKING DADDY
ABOVE AVERAGE
POSTAL EXPRESS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
HAYJOSHANDCO
CRESCO THREEPEAT
CLEM MCARDLE
EXCITER
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ADELAIDE BAY
GOLDEN SAND
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: POSTAL EXPRESS (5) was big odds last time but you could argue he had his momentum halted when getting down to the sprint lane from three poles and I thought the run was more than sound under the circumstances. He’s honest and consistent and may just have found his right race here. EXCITER (6) will again have his admirers but it is hard to argue this is an easier task than last time so he will need to be better again. ADELAIDE BAY (11) galloped in a recent Bendigo trial so did enough under the circumstances but he’s sure to benefit from the experience of this run even if he doesn’t prevail. COOL ROCKING DADDY (8), GOLDEN SAND (10) and CRESCO THREEPEAT (9) are the next group if you’re searching for value.

             

EARLY SPEED: 5 (Potential leader) + 1,6?

RATINGS: 5/ 6/ 11/ 8/ 10/ 9/ 4/ 1/ 2/ 3.

SELECTIONS: POSTAL EXPRESS (5), EXCITER (6), ADELAIDE BAY (11), COOL ROCKING DADDY (8).

 

Race 8 - YOUR SOLD REAL ESTATE PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.MISS FANDANGO NZ $26.00
2.ARK PATROL $17.00
3.TRENDY BROMAC NZ $10.00
4.QUAMBY REACTOR $17.00
5.STRAWBERRY COURAGE NZ Em 1$
6.NOTA REPLICA $7.00
7.OZZIE BATTLER $17.00
Second Row
8.MY MAGIC MERLIN $14.00
9.SHADOW CHEVRON NZ $3.00
10.ALL WHITEY THEN $10.00
11.YOUNG ROOSTER $2.60
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OZZIE BATTLER
ALL WHITEY THEN
MY MAGIC MERLIN
MISS FANDANGO NZ
ARK PATROL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
YOUNG ROOSTER
NOTA REPLICA
SHADOW CHEVRON NZ
TRENDY BROMAC NZ
QUAMBY REACTOR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: YOUNG ROOSTER (11) comes through the TAB regional championship and his run in the consolation was as good as you could have hoped for based on the way the race played out. This is an entirely different task but he looks the hardest to beat in an intriguing race. SHADOW CHEVRON (9) all but won last time and he’s a serious talent when he puts it all together so if you’re a Quaddie punter, he goes in somewhere for sure and certain. TRENDY BROMAC (3) ran to the line first-up and she will no doubt take benefit out of it. ALL WHITEY THEN (10), NOTA REPLICA (6) and MY MAGIC MERLIN (8) all have some knockout claims if everything fell their way in transit.

             

EARLY SPEED: 1,2

RATINGS: 11/ 9/ 3/ 10/ 6/ 8/ 2/ 7/ 4/ 1.

SELECTIONS: YOUNG ROOSTER (11), SHADOW CHEVRON (9), TRENDY BROMAC (3), ALL WHITEY THEN (10).

 

Form Analyst: Jason Bonnington


Race 1 - DNR LOGISTICS TROT 1720M MS

No.HorsePrice
1.GUS AN MAORI $14.00
2.ORLANDO STORM $6.50
3.PINK GALAHS $3.00
4.IMSETTOGO $2.80
5.CARNERA $21.00
6.SUCCESS COUNTS NZ $4.00
7.DOUG NZ $21.00
Second Row
8.THE PENNY DROPS $12.00
9.GENTLEMAN SIR NZ $101.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GENTLEMAN SIR NZ
GUS AN MAORI
ORLANDO STORM
IMSETTOGO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
THE PENNY DROPS
CARNERA
PINK GALAHS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DOUG NZ
SUCCESS COUNTS NZ

 

OVERVIEW: On first inspection this typically narrow seven-race card at HQ looks relatively simple to pick apart but the further you delve the wilier it becomes and this opening event may be the wiliest contest of all. That being said if IMSETTOGO (4) works her way to the top end as expected then she’s the one to roll. Always above average, she has gone to another level during this regional racing period and if things pan out early then whatever beats her wins but there are at least two and potentially up to five potential assassins. Most dangerous are PINK GALAHS (3) who was placed at Group 1 level last year and resumed with a narrow win from the stand along with SUCCESS COUNTS (6) who can lay claim to being the established class factor and did trial nicely of late but is first up from an ordinary draw and will require fortune to salute. Lesser hopes go to ORLANDO STORM (2) who looks to map well but must bounce back from a disappointing last start performance here along with THE PENNY DROPS (8) and GUS AND MAORI (1) who rated the outstanding time of 1:56.8 over the short trip here late last year and could provide the knockout blow at odds from his ideal alley.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Likely Leader) + 5 + 1,2,3,6

RATINGS: 4/ 3/ 6/ 2/ 8/ 1/ 5/ 7/ 9

SELECTIONS: IMSETTOGO (4), PINK GALAHS (3), SUCCESS COUNTS (6), ORLANDO STORM (2)

 

Race 2 - BENSTUD STANDARDBREDS PACE 2240M MS

No.HorsePrice
1.FIREROCKFIREROLL $2.50
2.URBADBOY $1.70
3.JUSTICE SERVED $34.00
4.OUR SIR OLIVER $34.00
5.DAN FERNANDO NZ $26.00
6.GLENAVRIL KING $4.50
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OUR SIR OLIVER
URBADBOY
FIREROCKFIREROLL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DAN FERNANDO NZ
JUSTICE SERVED
GLENAVRIL KING
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: As with most races this evening only a small field will assemble in this 63 to 69 affair but three of the six runners engaged will be tackling infinitely stronger races in the not-too-distant future. Mapping a race like this with so few combatants is trickier than it may appear but at the end of the day FIREROCKFIREROLL (1) and URBADBOY (2) are the two most exciting pacers engaged and both will get sweet trips from perfect alleys regardless of what happens early on. The only time we’ve seen these rising stars clash was in the VHRC Classic in late March when both runners were well beaten by Pacifico Dream. On that occasion URBADBOY (2) easily beat his chief threat here home and his only run since then was an eerily dominant first-up triumph at Ballarat 11 days back. Not only is he the benchmark runner but also the Best Bet all night at $1.60 or better. As mentioned his main resistance will come from FIREROCKFIREROLL (1) who is well regarded by the Stewart/Tonkin camp and may have a minor tactical advantage from the inside lane while GLENAVRIL KING (6) also warrants serious respect based on recent form in the West but will need to be clearly better than his two better drawn rivals to prevail which seems unlikely. Best of the rest is DAN FERNANDO (5) but you might as well play field at the back end of First Fours should you choose to play the race that way.

EARLY SPEED: 1,2 + 3?,4?,5?

RATINGS: 2/ 1/ 6/ 5/ 4/ 3

SELECTIONS: URBADBOY (2), FIREROCKFIREROLL (1), GLENAVRIL KING (6), DAN FERNANDO (5)

 

Race 3 - WASTE SENSE PACE 2240M MS

No.HorsePrice
1.THE JET PLAYER $101.00
2.IDLE TIMES $34.00
3.MISS HARTLEY NZ $16.00
4.YANKEE LINCOLN NZ $3.20
5.IM NO OUTLAW NZ $4.50
6.ROCKNROLL RONNIE $1.40
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: After finally shaking the hard tag put on him by Eureka last start ROCKNROLL RONNIE (6) duly bounced back into the winners list last start in commanding fashion and if anything the wider draw and longer trip suit him even better this time around. From a map perspective look for him to follow lightning beginner IM NO OUTLAW (5) across at the start who will be only too willing to pass on the front within 300m of the mobile careering away. From there it will be a procession and if you’re playing exotics – which you’ll probably need to – the only runners needed on the second line of multiples are YANKEE LINCOLN (4) who has plenty of raw talent and has been good in two runs back from a break and IM NO OUTLAW (5) who should benefit, as mentioned, from trailing the leader and winner in transit. If you’re playing it safe you may want to add MISS HARTLEY (3) and IDLE TIMES (2) in for third but that also may be wasting precious percentage in what looks a pretty clear-cut affair.

EARLY SPEED: 6 (Likely Leader) + 5 + 1,2,3,4

RATINGS: 6/ 4/ 5/ 3/ 2/ 1

SELECTIONS: ROCKNROLL RONNIE (6), YANKEE LINCOLN (4), IM NO OUTLAW (5), MISS HARTLEY (3)

 

Race 4 - TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY PACE 2240M MS

No.HorsePrice
1.IDEALSOMEMAGIC $9.00
2.LIKE A WILDFIRE NZ $7.50
3.LITTLE PEANUT $3.50
4.SOMEWHERE SECRET $12.00
5.LOVE INA CHEVY NZ $26.00
6.EGODAN $12.00
7.MAJOR TIMES $2.20
Second Row
8.STAR OF MEMPHIS NZ $3.20
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: You’d think that after endless weeks of watching the same horses lock horns at FFA level there’d be some clarity around where said Standardbreds sat in the pecking order relative to one another but when Poster Boy isn’t on the scene precious little separates this lot and luck in running will be critical. There are several potential scenarios tonight from a race shape perspective but in more than one of them MAJOR TIMES (7) will find the front and if MAJOR TIMES (7) finds the top then the race on his racquet. If that doesn’t happen or if our top tip is forced to work overtime in pursuit of the lamplighting role then pretty much every other runner comes into play; principally LITTLE PEANUT (3) who was huge from the rear in a very similar affair but with more runners last time out and STAR OF MEMPHIS (8) who finished second in the same affair coming off a six week hiatus between runs. IDEALSOMEMAGIC (1) is also not without a knockout chance based on his wonderful effort in fast time last weekend but he’d need to lob the trail and in most likely maps he’ll be one horse further back than that and in a world of pain as a result.

EARLY SPEED: 7 (Potential Leader) + 1,4 + 3,5?,6?

RATINGS: 7/ 3/ 8/ 1/ 4/ 2/ 6/ 5

SELECTIONS: MAJOR TIMES (7), LITTLE PEANUT (3), STAR OF MEMPHIS (8), IDEALSOMEMAGIC (1)

 

Race 5 - WESTERN EQUINE VETERINARY SERVICES PACE 1720M MS

No.HorsePrice
1.ONTHECRESTOFAWAVE $14.00
2.COCOSFELLA $1.80
3.HULI NIEN $14.00
4.JOE NIEN $34.00
5.JEAN LUC NZ $14.00
6.BETTOR BE THE BOMB $12.00
7.DONT HOLD BACK $8.50
Second Row
8.DEEDENUTO $3.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: If a bravery award were assigned for horses racing regularly at Melton during the era of regional racing then COCOSFELLA (2) would be a leading candidate to take home that prize. A powerful pacer that doesn’t know when to quit he’s endured some tough runs at times in recent weeks but with a reasonable beginning here he should lead and if he lead it’s incredibly tough to see how he’ll get rolled given he rated 1:53.1 over this trip from the breeze four starts back so could arguably go a second quicker from the top end. If there was to be a minor upset however it would almost certainly come from DEEDENUTO (8). A similarly powerful pacer he put the writing on the wall second up from a break when storming home off an unsuitable tempo then ran a mighty race last start when sitting parked and beaten less than 10 in a blistering 1:55.2 rate over the middle trip on a wet track behind Arden Voyager. The query runner is DON’T HOLD BACK (7) who went more impressively than he may have looked behind the crazy good Poster Boy last start. He’s third up tonight and seriously gifted when right but the draw is an issue even if he’s ready to peak. Given her beautiful draw and likely trailing role ONTHECRESTOFAWAVE (1) is the other must-include for multiple wagers though BETTOR BE THE BOMB (6) could add monster value to exotics if you throw him in and he manages to make the dais, which he very well could.

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Likely Leader) + 3,6 + 7?

RATINGS: 2/ 8/ 7/ 1/ 6/ 5/ 3/ 4

SELECTIONS: COCOSFELLA (2), DEEDENUTO (8), DON’T HOLD BACK (7), ONTHECRESTOFAWAVE (1)

 

Race 6 - MELTON TOYOTA PACE 1720M MS

No.HorsePrice
1.THE GINGERBREADMAN $16.00
2.MIRRAGON $1.80
3.MICROMETEOR $10.00
4.MORVAH $21.00
5.CRIME WRITER $2.50
6.OFF THE RADAR $3.20
7.UPANATOM NZ $34.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UPANATOM NZ
MORVAH
THE GINGERBREADMAN
MIRRAGON
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OFF THE RADAR
MICROMETEOR
CRIME WRITER
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: Intriguing race this. If tonight’s penultimate event were a movie then the two major stars would be MIRRAGON (2) and CRIME WRITER (5). Despite being younger than their mostly greybeard adversaries (Mirragon is 3 and Crime Writer 4) both horses have already banked more than $100K and both have been discussed as potential guns of the future. That being said neither horse has done anything this prep to make you think they’re at their very best here and it’s highly likely they will over-represent the market here despite the fact that OFF THE RADAR (6) boasts the best overall form. A short course specialist that loves this circuit OFF THE RADAR (6) must get a truly run race to strike a blow tonight but if MIRRAGON (2) leads and CRIME WRITER (5) keeps him honest then the hot tempo required to win will likely eventuate and OFF THE RADAR (6) can easily finish all over the top. That being said things could easily go the other way with MIRRAGON (2) leading and dictating terms so he can clearly win, he’s not a betting proposition at the price. As mentioned above the very smart CRIME WRITER 5) is the other winning chance if he finds his best form while the remaining runners will be racing for very minor money at best headed up by the perfectly drawn THE GINGERBREADMAN (1).

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Likely Leader) + 3,5,7?

RATINGS: 6/ 2/ 5/ 1/ 3/ 4/ 7

SELECTIONS: OFF THE RADAR (6), MIRRAGON (2), CRIME WRITER (5), THE GINGERBREADMAN (1)

 

Race 7 - ALDEBARAN PARK TROT 2240M MS

No.HorsePrice
1.FEAR NOT $34.00
2.SCALLYWAG SAM NZ $4.50
3.IMPERIAL WHIZ NZ $8.50
4.SUPER ZECK $101.00
5.SAVANNAH JAY JAY $8.50
6.MCLOVIN NZ $1.20
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FEAR NOT
SCALLYWAG SAM NZ
MCLOVIN NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SAVANNAH JAY JAY
SUPER ZECK
IMPERIAL WHIZ NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: Skinny race to finish but it may still be a lucrative one if we play our cards right. The map tells us that SCALLYWAG SAM (2) should have the speed to lead early doors and the only horse he’ll be handing up to is outstanding stayer MCLOVIN (6). Barring accident or injury MCLOVIN (6) would cruise home for success in that circumstance with SCALLYWAG SAM (2) running second. With that Exacta set in stone you can stagger Trifectas with three of the remaining four runners to finish third for varying amounts with IMPERIAL WHIZ (3) and SAVANNAH JAY JAY (5) most likely fight out bronze medal honours.

EARLY SPEED: 6 (Likely Leader) + 2,3 + 5?

RATINGS: 6/ 2/ 5/ 3/ 1/ 4

SELECTIONS: MCLOVIN (6), SCALLYWAG SAM (2), SAVANNAH JAY JAY (5), IMPERIAL WHIZ (3)