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Form Analyst: Luke Humphreys’


Race 1 - THE EUSTON CLUB PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.SANTA CASA DREAM $2.20
2.MISS REMBRANDT $11.00
3.WESTERN CRISIS $5.00
4.BRAEVIEW FELLA $11.00
5.PUOPOLO $26.00
6.TANGAROA $26.00
Second Row
7.FIGHTER $
8.MALIBU JACK $2.80
9.ARTISTICBUTNAUGHTY $101.00
10.AMUSED $14.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AMUSED
ARTISTICBUTNAUGHTY
MALIBU JACK
SANTA CASA DREAM
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TANGAROA
PUOPOLO
MISS REMBRANDT
WESTERN CRISIS
BRAEVIEW FELLA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: SANTA CASA DREAM (1) was a maiden before heading over to South Australia where he was able to win two races. He now joins the in-form Lachlan Prothero stable and draws the pole in this race for horses that haven’t won a race, not including restricted level, so he looks very well placed. MALIBU JACK (8) is drawn against his back and looks the other principle chance. He was able to win one race from four attempts with Matt Craven and now joins Scott Garraway after having a trial the other week at Globe Derby for Aaron Bain. MISS REMBRANDT (2), WESTERN CRISIS (3) and BRAEVIEW FELLA (4) head the place chances.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2? 3, 4, 5, 6?

RATINGS: 1 / 8 / 3 / 4 / 2 / 10 / 5 / 6 / 9

SELECTIONS: SANTA CASA DREAM (1), MALIBU JACK (8), WESTERN CRISIS (3), BRAEVIEW FELLA (4)

 

Race 2 - THE GATEWAY PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.SIEDRA CALEB $4.40
2.LITTLE BELIEVER $11.00
3.TIMMY LIMOUSINE $11.00
4.POLONIS OUR MATE $11.00
5.MISTER ALIAS $11.00
6.SHADYS PURSUIT $3.20
Second Row
7.GRACEFUL ART Em 1$
8.SHE CAN ROCK $26.00
9.HAPPYASLARRY $4.20
10.SPRINGFIELD SHADOW $14.00
11.FIRE HOUSE ROCK $11.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FIRE HOUSE ROCK
SPRINGFIELD SHADOW
HAPPYASLARRY
SHE CAN ROCK
SIEDRA CALEB
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MISTER ALIAS
POLONIS OUR MATE
TIMMY LIMOUSINE
LITTLE BELIEVER
SHADYS PURSUIT
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: SHADYS PURSUIT (6) has a wide draw but he is close to a win. He lost a few lengths on the first bend last week when galloping and still ran second. He can go close despite the draw. SHE CAN ROCK (8) has an economical draw, should the reserve come out, and caught the eye late last week so she shouldn’t be forgotten. SIEDRA CALEB (1) has the draw to be right there although weakened into fifth last week. SPRINGFIELD SHADOW (10) is dropping in class but has a second line draw. In what is not an easy race TIMMY LIMOUSINE (3), LITTLE BELIEVER (2) and FIRE HOUSE ROCK (11) rate next.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 6

RATINGS: 6 / 8 / 1 / 10 / 3 / 2 / 11 / 9 / 4 / 5 / 7

SELECTIONS: SHADYS PURSUIT (6), SHE CAN ROCK (8), SIEDRA CALEB (1), SPRINGFIELD SHADOW (10)

 

Race 3 - TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY 3YO PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.WATCHMEDANCE $101.00
2.KENSINGTON MAID $101.00
3.ILLAWONG PARRIS $11.00
4.MAJOR MAL $6.00
5.ONA HIGHWAY TOHELL $2.00
6.CALL ME HENRY $2.20
Second Row
7.LOYOLA ROCKNROLLA $101.00
8.AUSSIE CASH $101.00
9.COCO BEACH $11.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
LOYOLA ROCKNROLLA
WATCHMEDANCE
KENSINGTON MAID
ILLAWONG PARRIS
MAJOR MAL
ONA HIGHWAY TOHELL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AUSSIE CASH
 
COCO BEACH
CALL ME HENRY
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: ONA HIGHWAY TO HELL (5) was able to win South Australia’s equivalent of the Sires Stakes last season as a juvenile. He didn’t quite fire in two runs earlier this year but worked back to winning ways last time in Adelaide Now he joins Kate Attard and should go very close in this race on his Sunraysia debut. However, you’d be brave to dismiss CALL ME HENRY (6), who is looking for a Mildura hat-trick, after beating similar opposition, take away the favourite, in two local starts. They stand out over MAJOR MAL (4), who has become a bit costly for punters but rates highly, ILLAWONG PARRIS (3) and COCO BEACH (9).

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

RATINGS: 5 / 6 / 4 / 3 / 9 / 7 / 1 / 2 / 8

SELECTIONS: ONA HIGHWAY TOHELL (5), CALL ME HENRY (6), MAJOR MAL (4), ILLAWONG PARRIS (3)

 

Race 4 - TENDERPRINT AUSTRALIA PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.GOLDEN SCRIBE $21.00
2.BO CARSON $21.00
3.OUR GRAND TORINO $11.00
4.CHARLIE KNEW $21.00
5.WOODY NIGHTSHADE $7.50
6.BULLDOG MACRAY $31.00
Second Row
7.ILLAWONG MIMI $2.60
8.GRACEFUL ART Em 1$
9.HAVEACHEW $2.50
10.TELL US WE DREAM $26.00
11.OLLIE AND BROCK $8.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GOLDEN SCRIBE
BO CARSON
OUR GRAND TORINO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
WOODY NIGHTSHADE
BULLDOG MACRAY
CHARLIE KNEW
HAVEACHEW
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ILLAWONG MIMI
TELL US WE DREAM
OLLIE AND BROCK

 

OVERVIEW: ILLAWONG MIMI (7) has an awkward inside second line draw but was able to win on her Mildura debut last week hard held in a maiden. If she can have some luck in running, she will be close. HAVEACHEW (9) has been close-up in three starts for Frank Mercieca and was able to score last week easily enough. In that same race WOODY NIGHTSHADE (5) was getting home strongly towards the inside for fifth and that followed a narrow second. He disappointed on debut for Luke Watson but has been good his last two attempts. OLLIE AND BROCK (11) can’t be ruled out but will need a few things to go right.

EARLY SPEED: 2, 3, 4, 5?

RATINGS: 7 / 9 / 5 / 11 / 3 / 10 / 2 / 1 / 8 / 4

SELECTIONS: ILLAWONG MIMI (7), HAVEACHEW (9), WOODY NIGHTSHADE (5), OLLIE AND BROCK (11)

 

Race 5 - PARK DOUGLAS PRINTING PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.RHYFLECTIVE $51.00
2.A ROCKNROLL JET $21.00
3.GOOD ONYA $21.00
4.TUNZA TENACITY $1.50
5.GLENAVRIL GIRL $8.50
6.CLASSIC ARC $11.00
Second Row
7.RUBBERS DILEMMA $21.00
8.BLAST AWAY $4.50
9.WOTCHAWAITINGFOR $11.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
RUBBERS DILEMMA
RHYFLECTIVE
TUNZA TENACITY
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
WOTCHAWAITINGFOR
A ROCKNROLL JET
GOOD ONYA
GLENAVRIL GIRL
CLASSIC ARC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BLAST AWAY

 

OVERVIEW: TUNZA TENACITY (4) has been extremely impressive in two starts for Lachlan Prothero winning by almost 40 metres combined. On both occasions he has run good time and won hard held. It’s another step-up but he has the draw to lead and if he runs up to his past two, he’ll be nearly impossible to catch from the front. BLAST AWAY (8) needs to lead in his races so naturally the second row draw over the sprint hurts his chances but obviously rates highly. A ROCKNROLL JET (2) was a big run last week and could be the bet in the race, from a place perspective. WOTCHAWAITINGFOR (9) finds a suitable race.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 4 (Leader), 5

RATINGS: 4 / 8 / 2 / 9 / 5 / 6 / 7 / 3 / 1

SELECTIONS: TUNZA TENACITY (4), BLAST AWAY (8), A ROCKNROLL JET (2), WOTCHAWAITINGFOR (9)

 

Race 6 - TASCO PETROLEUM PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.HEZA REDDY $21.00
2.RAINBOW RAIN $101.00
3.EUSTON FLYER $21.00
4.CAUSENFRICTION $21.00
5.KOTARE YORK NZ $41.00
6.AUGUSTUS JACK $5.00
Second Row
7.MURRANJI TRACK $3.40
8.BERNIE WINKLE NZ $1.50
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
RAINBOW RAIN
HEZA REDDY
AUGUSTUS JACK
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
KOTARE YORK NZ
EUSTON FLYER
CAUSENFRICTION
BERNIE WINKLE NZ
MURRANJI TRACK
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: BERNIE WINKLE (8), or Bernie the Invincible, is looking to make it a six-timer after four very impressive victories and then pulling out all the stops to just get there in the last stride when the mighty MURRANJI TRACK (7) gave him a real race last week. Despite that nose victory, it’s hard to knock him. The incredibly consistent MURRANJI TRACK (7) disappointed two back but was back to his best last week when nearly pinching it. AUGUSTUS JACK (6) is a clear third pick over HEZA REDDY (1) who was best of the rest behind the two big guns last week so from the pole there is no reason why he can’t be again.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2? 3? 4? 6 (Leader)

RATINGS: 8 / 7 / 6 / 1 / 4 / 5 / 3 / 2

SELECTIONS: BERNIE WINKLE (8), MURRANJI TRACK (7), AUGUSTUS JACK (6), HEZA REDDY (1)

 

Race 7 - TANKARD DENTAL PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.LARWOOD $101.00
2.SMOOTH DELIGHT NZ $11.00
3.MISTER JIMARINGLE $2.40
4.VIEIRA $101.00
5.GENUINE EXCUSE NZ $51.00
6.GOVINNI $11.00
Second Row
7.FORTITUDO $21.00
8.BETTOR B NICE NZ $3.00
9.RENAISSANCE ART $3.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
VIEIRA
FORTITUDO
LARWOOD
SMOOTH DELIGHT NZ
MISTER JIMARINGLE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GOVINNI
RENAISSANCE ART
BETTOR B NICE NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: BETTOR B NICE (8) was involved in an ordinary looking fall on Ouyen Cup day but hasn’t looked back since with a victory and two placings. It took him a while to win a race at this course, but he is at the peak of his powers now. RENAISSANCE ART (9) hasn’t had much luck recently from poor draws and whilst that is again the case in this, he obviously has the ability and the right form to go close again. The three-year-old MISTER JIMARINGLE (3) is first-up for almost two months but naturally should be right there and is a pace angle with SMOOTH DELIGHT (2) who rounds out the chances.

EARLY SPEED: 2, 3, 5? 6?

RATINGS: 8 / 9 / 3 / 2 / 6 / 7 / 5 / 1 / 4

SELECTIONS: BETTOR B NICE (8), RENAISSANCE ART (9), MISTER JIMARINGLE (3), SMOOTH DELIGHT (2)

 

Race 8 - SUNRAYSIA SECURITY PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.SAFARI ROSE $11.00
2.PATTYS ANGEL $11.00
3.BELLA CULLEN $4.00
4.TALE OF THE DRAGON Em 1$
5.EMERGING ART $101.00
6.VALIANT GEM $11.00
Second Row
7.DROMANA BEACH $21.00
8.KELLYS IDEAL $5.00
9.STONEBRIDGE STAR $11.00
10.USAGE $31.00
11.SASSYS A TERROR $2.30
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
EMERGING ART
USAGE
DROMANA BEACH
PATTYS ANGEL
TALE OF THE DRAGON
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
STONEBRIDGE STAR
KELLYS IDEAL
BELLA CULLEN
VALIANT GEM
SASSYS A TERROR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: SASSYS A TERROR (11) has a mind of her own to say the least and because of that she is naturally ODM but this three-year-old definitely has the ability. She was able to win very impressively against her own age group two back before finishing second against the older horses last time. She’ll be right there despite the draw. KELLYS IDEAL (8) really caught the eye late last start and this race is slightly easier so he could be the real danger. He got to the lead last week in the no-race before it was stopped. BELLA CULLEN (3) and STONEBRIDGE STAR (9) are always in the finish and will be again.

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 3? 4, 5? 6

RATINGS: 11 / 8 / 3 / 9 / 1 / 2 / 6 / 4 / 10 / 5 / 7

SELECTIONS: SASSYS A TERROR (11), KELLYS IDEAL (8), BELLA CULLEN (3), STONEBRIDGE STAR (9)

 

Form Analyst: Blake Redden


Race 1 - DNR LOGISTICS PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.PLAN CE $3.60
2.RAGNARR NZ $3.60
3.JUST CALL ME MAC $11.00
4.BARNBOUGLE JACK $26.00
5.BYALLA BOY $4.60
6.OUR SPORTSCASTER NZ $3.40
7.KEAYANG DA VINCI $12.00
Second Row
8.FRANCO JOLTO $14.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FRANCO JOLTO
BYALLA BOY
PLAN CE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BARNBOUGLE JACK
RAGNARR NZ
JUST CALL ME MAC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
KEAYANG DA VINCI
OUR SPORTSCASTER NZ
 

 

OVERVIEW: OUR SPORTSCASTER (6) was put into the race a lap out last time and despite the fact it was a nice drop in grade for him, he did give his rivals a bit of a lesson there. This race is by no means clear cut and he will likely need some things to go his way but he’s racing particularly well right now so he gets the nod. RAGNARR (2) hasn’t had much go his way in any of his last three or four and there is no doubt he is ticking over better than the form numbers may suggest so he’s a clear an obvious danger. BYALLA BOY (5) may be able to race the gate and if he can either lead outright or create the space to get in behind the leader, then he’ll run another honest race. PLAN CE (1) may need to spend some petrol early but he’s hard to leave out for wider Early Quaddie punters while JUST CALL ME MAC (3) is clearly the most interesting runner and if there’s market support, it’s worth respecting.

             

EARLY SPEED:  1,5 + 2,3

RATINGS: 6/ 2/ 5/ 1/ 3/ 7/ 8/ 4.

SELECTIONS: OUR SPORTSCASTER (6), RAGNARR (2), BYALLA BOY (5), PLAN CE (1).

 

Race 2 - ALLIED EXPRESS PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.CHRISSY DIVINYL $34.00
2.HIT THE SKY NZ $3.00
3.JACKIERABBIT $4.60
4.BUNDY PLAYBOY $12.00
5.MADAZALWAYS $17.00
6.THE BULL PEN NZ $2.60
7.STRUVE $4.20
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BUNDY PLAYBOY
CHRISSY DIVINYL
HIT THE SKY NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
STRUVE
MADAZALWAYS
JACKIERABBIT
THE BULL PEN NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: THE BULL PEN (6) led and was left vulnerable first-up but after pulling again second-up he was good enough to grip on to victory late. There are plenty of layers to that given it was around a track that suits leaders and if he doesn’t get to the pegs here he will need to settle better to have something left at the finish but on his overall profile and scope for improvement, he just rates on top. HIT THE SKY (2) worked to the lead and looked good when proving too strong in an easier race. This is another test but he’s in form and if he leads early and gets a breather at any stage, he’ll give them something to catch. JACKIERABBIT (3) did knock off THE BULL PEN (6) last time we saw him and while he’s less likely to get across and hand-up here, he is most certainly a winning chance for multiple punters. STRUVE (7) would be a factor if the best version of him turned up but that’s a risk punters must take off the back of him finishing out the back in three of his past four. BUNDY PLAYBOY (4) is the other to consider for wider trifectas if the speed is on early.

             

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Likely leader) + 1,3,6?

RATINGS: 6/ 2/ 3/ 7/ 4/ 5/ 1.

SELECTIONS: THE BULL PEN (6), HIT THE SKY (2), JACKIERABBIT (3), STRUVE (7).

 

Race 3 - PRIDMORE ELECTRICS TROT

No.HorsePrice
1.DOWN UNDER EARL $16.00
2.TEETREETOMMY $4.00
3.GEORGIAS PRIDE $2.60
4.GUS AN MAORI $11.00
5.NAMOSCAR $8.50
6.IMSETTOGO $3.50
7.CLASSY LOLA $6.50
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NAMOSCAR
DOWN UNDER EARL
GEORGIAS PRIDE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CLASSY LOLA
TEETREETOMMY
GUS AN MAORI
IMSETTOGO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: GEORGIAS PRIDE (3) came from last (and wide) when finishing midfield just over a month ago in a race dominated by those at the top end. She gets back to the front row here and if she can begin safely she’s quick enough to spear across to lead and from there, she’ll be really hard to run down. TEETREETOMMY (2) is improving all the time and he was the eye-catcher when rushing to the line last time so if he settles handy to the speed, he has the turn of foot to make a race of this. IMSETTOGO (6) made a mistake last time but she was getting the job done prior so it would be hard to rule her out totally despite a few factors being against her here. CLASSY LOLA (7) stuck on well last time and goes into first fours along with the underrated NAMOSCAR (5).

             

EARLY SPEED:  3 (Likely leader) + 1,6?

RATINGS: 3/ 2/ 6/ 7/ 5/ 4/ 1.

SELECTIONS: GEORGIAS PRIDE (3), TEETREETOMMY (2), IMSETTOGO (6), CLASSY LOLA (7).

 

Race 4 - HYLAND RACING COLOURS PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.RISHI NZ $34.00
2.EGODAN $4.50
3.OUR STEP UP NZ $7.50
4.DEEDENUTO $4.00
5.SOMEWHERE SECRET $7.50
6.LIKE A WILDFIRE NZ $3.00
7.LITTLE PEANUT $4.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SOMEWHERE SECRET
RISHI NZ
EGODAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
LITTLE PEANUT
LIKE A WILDFIRE NZ
OUR STEP UP NZ
DEEDENUTO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: DEEDENUTO (4) couldn’t get the better of Cocosfella last week but he gave his all and he should be rock hard fit now and he’s tough enough and strong enough to make his presence felt in a ripping race.  LIKE A WILDFIRE (6) did have a soft run behind Major Times but he was ready to let fly if he saw any clear air so even from the awkward draw he has the turn of foot to get involved late if they run along up front. EGODAN (2) may be able to deploy his gate speed early and he’s ticking over well enough to suggest he’ll be in the finish if he leads.  LITTLE PEANUT (7), SOMEWHERE SECRET (5) and OUR STEP UP (3) are all hard to leave out but it’s one of those races where not much would surprise.

             

EARLY SPEED: 1,2

RATINGS: 4/ 6/ 2/ 7/ 5/ 3/ 1.

SELECTIONS: DEEDENUTO (4), LIKE A WILDFIRE (6), EGODAN (2), LITTLE PEANUT (7).

 

Race 5 - TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.JILLIBY MADONNA $8.50
2.UPANATOM NZ $34.00
3.JEAN LUC NZ $7.00
4.FREDDY FUNK NZ $6.00
5.RUPERT OF LINCOLN NZ $2.60
6.SMART LITTLE SHARD $8.50
7.ARDEN VOYAGER NZ $2.60
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SMART LITTLE SHARD
UPANATOM NZ
JILLIBY MADONNA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ARDEN VOYAGER NZ
FREDDY FUNK NZ
JEAN LUC NZ
RUPERT OF LINCOLN NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: RUPERT OF LINCOLN (5) came from off speed in a slowly run race last time and showed excellent endeavour to reel in Yankee Lincoln who has gone on to frank the form since. This is a tricky race to put together but with even luck and natural improvement he does look the hardest to beat. ARDEN VOYAGER (7) was right back on track last time but it’s hard to see him leading here which means he is going to have to overcome adversity to win here. FREDDY FUNK (4) comes through a strong race behind Somewhere Secret and he’s a must for trifectas but JEAN LUC (3) was running home last time and is the other that goes into exotics.

             

EARLY SPEED:  1 (Potential leader) + 3? 4? 5?

RATINGS: 5/ 7/ 4/ 3/ 6/ 1/ 2.

SELECTIONS: RUPERT OF LINCOLN (5), ARDEN VOYAGER (7), FREDDY FUNK (4), JEAN LUC (3).

 

Race 6 - WOODLANDS STUD PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.MISS HARTLEY NZ $4.50
2.PLATINUM POWER $21.00
3.MISS MCGONAGALL $3.50
4.TINA CALLS $3.50
5.KONAN $8.50
6.THE GINGERBREADMAN $16.00
7.CAPTAIN BRONZIE $3.50
Second Row
8.FRANCO $26.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
THE GINGERBREADMAN
PLATINUM POWER
FRANCO
MISS HARTLEY NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CAPTAIN BRONZIE
KONAN
MISS MCGONAGALL
TINA CALLS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: MISS MCGONAGALL (3) has been one of the revelations of regional racing from an equine perspective and she was a bit stiff to not quite get Explicit Castle a couple of weeks back. That said, it’s a pretty good form line for this and while a lot will depend on the first couple of hundred metres, she must rate on top. MISS HARTLEY (1) followed the winner last week and beat the rest comfortably so from the inside draw she can’t be overlooked as a serious winning player. CAPTAIN BRONZIE (7) will no doubt come in with plenty of admirers following two excellent runs this preparation, but he hasn’t been done any favours by the draw. TINA CALLS (4) and KONAN (5) are the next best if you’re searching for value in Saver Quaddies.

             

EARLY SPEED:  1,3

RATINGS: 3/ 1/ 7/ 4/ 5/ 6/ 2/ 8.

SELECTIONS: MISS MCGONAGALL (3), MISS HARTLEY (1), CAPTAIN BRONZIE (7), TINA CALLS (4).

 

Race 7 - NIOTA BLOODSTOCK TROT

No.HorsePrice
1.DOUG NZ $17.00
2.IMPERIAL WHIZ NZ $5.00
3.CHIEF RUNNINGCLOUD $21.00
4.EGEE MONEY FRA $2.70
5.SAMMY SHOWDOWN $1.50
6.GENTLEMAN SIR NZ $101.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GENTLEMAN SIR NZ
DOUG NZ
IMPERIAL WHIZ NZ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
EGEE MONEY FRA
CHIEF RUNNINGCLOUD
SAMMY SHOWDOWN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: SAMMY SHOWDOWN (5) came from off-speed and destroyed his rivals last time after doing the work prior. He’s capable of running 1:56 and change over the sprint trip and he has done that from the breeze too so there simply can’t be too many threats tonight. If there is to be one then EGEE MONEY (4) looms the obvious. She was roaring home behind Mclovin first-up so she’s getting into a nice race here and is the little danger to the likely favourite. IMPERIAL WHIZ (2) should get to the pegs early and that makes him the clear third elect however DOUG (1) should be better for the two runs this campaign and he too can go into trifectas.

             

EARLY SPEED:  2 (Likely leader) + 5?

RATINGS: 5/ 4/ 2/ 1/ 3/ 6.

SELECTIONS: SAMMY SHOWDOWN (5), EGEE MONEY (4), IMPERIAL WHIZ (2), DOUG (1).

 

Form Analyst: Jason Bonnington


Race 1 - SMARTLINE PERSONAL MORTGAGE ADVISERS 3YO PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.OUTSIDE FIGHTER $6.00
2.LETS MAKE TRACKS $14.00
3.VAN NIEKERK NZ $26.00
4.BELLADONNA GIRL $21.00
5.THUMP $101.00
6.ORBIE $3.00
7.SAINT WIN $6.00
Second Row
8.BENEATH THE SHADOW $8.50
9.MAJOR JODI $5.50
10.MEA CULPA $4.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: Lords Raceway have been gifted their first Saturday night programme in recent memory and if you love competitive racing then it is a ripper card indeed; starting with this tricky opening event. It’s tough to now where ORBIE (6) will end up in transit from her wide front line draw but she has really found herself of late. Two starts back she produced a blinding turn of speed to overwhelm a similar field to the one she meets tonight then went better again in defeat last time out tackling a couple of rivals with very reasonable futures. She is clearly on top here with MEA CULPA (10) who needs plenty of encouragement but lifts under pressure and the perfectly drawn OUTSIDE FIGHTER (1) her most pressing rivals. That being said MAJOR JODI (9) who resumes here without a trial also has obvious ability and the beautifully bred SAINT WIN (7) a daughter of Art Major and sister to Saint Flash and Courageous Saint did savage the line in her most recent trial so watch markets closely with her on debut tonight.

EARLY SPEED: 3,4,6

RATINGS: 6/ 10/ 1/ 9/ 7/ 8/ 2/ 4/ 3/ 5

SELECTIONS: ORBIE (6), MEA CULPA (10), OUTSIDE FIGHTER (1), MAJOR JODI (9)

 

Race 2 - YABBY DAM RACING TROT

No.HorsePrice
1.MULBERRY PIE $21.00
2.A NIP WILL DO $16.00
3.FLAMING FIVES $4.50
4.LOUIEVILLE LASS $9.00
5.MORGAN MYLEE $4.00
6.DELAROSE $16.00
7.DOUBLE DOT $51.00
Second Row
8.KYVALLEY CHIEF NZ $3.50
9.CHATEAUBRIANT Em 1$
10.WHIZZBANG DAN $4.00
11.CAPRIOSKA $21.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: The most striking feature of this 46 to 55 trot is the staggering level of gate speed drawn off the front row and while there’s some level of predictability about where the field will fall after 500m but it’s tough to see how the fast beginners won’t be softened up by the work they do early on. For that reason we’re favouring those likely to get softer trips from bac line draws in the form of WHIZZBANG DAN (10) and KYVALLEY CHIEF (8). Both horses will relish a hot speed and can feature late even if that isn’t the case with WHIZZBANG DAN (10) narrowly favoured due to his experience, consistency and slightly better draw. If we’ve read the temp wrong then FLAMING FIVES (3) can also win though his draw may not end up being as good as it looks on paper while MORGAN MYLEE (5) has always had the talent to be a high quality mare but she will want to find the front much easier than is predicted if she wants to win this race.

EARLY SPEED: 5 (Potential Leader) + 2,4 + 1,3,6

RATINGS: 10/ 8/ 3/ 5/ 4/ 6/ 11/ 1/ 2/ 7

SELECTIONS: WHIZZBANG DAN (10), KYVALLEY CHIEF (8), FLAMING FIVES (3), MORGAN MYLEE (5)

 

Race 3 - J L KING & CO 2YO PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.DELIGHTFUL NIKKY $4.00
2.CALL ME DIVA $6.50
3.IRE OF THE DRAGON $21.00
4.BUBBA MARTIN $51.00
5.CHEYELLA $51.00
6.DABYMINGA $12.00
7.FOUR STAR SAINT $16.00
Second Row
8.TREACHEROUS SAINT $12.00
9.OZZIE PLAYBOY $7.50
10.HOLI STARZZZ $2.50
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: This is a terrific little 2YO event featuring all of the key juvenile protagonists from the Bendigo zone during the regional racing period with a couple of most interesting interlopers to add spice and intrigue. There are few bigger tasks in racing than winning over Bendigo’s short course trip from a wide second row draw but the way HOLI STARZZZ (10) went last start she does still look the one. Basically she was left chasing a fast speed off the pegs and leading the one wide line. Yes, David Miles’ drive was excellent, hanging back and keeping her comfortable but the win was still enormous and she should repeat the dose. That being said there was a lot to like about the debut of Shepparton based interloper DELIGHTFUL NIKKY (1). Her SP profile (she was $8.50 on debut) doesn’t inspire enormous confidence but she hit the line really well despite being as green as grass and if she lobs the trail as expected she’ll be super dangerous late. Of the Bendigo regulars CALL ME DIVA (2) looks best placed, particularly if she leads as expected but Glenn Douglas also has his freshman army involved with the best of his hopes coming via TREACHEROUS SAINT (8) and OZZIE PLAYBOY (9).

EARLY SPEED: 2 (Likely Leader) + 1,3,4,7

RATINGS: 10/ 1/ 2/ 8/ 9/ 6/ 3/ 7/ 4/ 5

SELECTIONS: HOLI STARZZZ (10), DELIGHTFUL NIKKY (1), CALL ME DIVA (2), TREACHEROUS SAINT (8)

 

Race 4 - GARRARDS HORSE & HOUND PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.PIN CODE $21.00
2.MAGNIFIED $3.50
3.COBBER MAC $26.00
4.HARD ROCK SHANNON $34.00
5.CEE VEE VEE $3.50
6.DIESEL DON $4.50
7.ARDENT BLISS $8.50
Second Row
8.LILNOVA $12.00
9.EDWINA EXPRESS $5.00
10.KIWI KALAHARI Em 1$
11.TOUCH OF ARMBRO $26.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: Of every race tonight this is clearly the toughest to assess. On overall form CEE VEE VEE (5) is the testing material but where he gets to in transit is anybody’s guess while MAGNIFIED (2) must also rate highly based on his easy last start success in good time off a soft trip and DIESEL DON (6) is also a huge hope if he spears across them as they mobile careers away as expected. Really, the only other one worth throwing into Early Quads is EDWINA EXPRESS (9) who was ticking along quite well in SA before breaking land speed records in front and only coiling up late at this course last time out.

EARLY SPEED: 6 (Likely Leader) + 3,5 + 2,4

RATINGS: 5/ 2/ 6/ 9/ 7/ 8/ 1/ 11/ 3/ 4

SELECTIONS: CEE VEE VEE (5), MAGNIFIED (2), DIESEL DON (6), EDWINA EXPRESS (9)

 

Race 5 - TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.ZAZU $12.00
2.WAYONBYE $6.50
3.CEE CEE IN AMERICA $26.00
4.STREITKID $6.00
5.FORM ANALYST $34.00
6.ROCKNROLL EYES $101.00
7.COURAGEOUS SAINT $12.00
Second Row
8.PICK UP LINE $11.00
9.CARLA CLARE Em 1$
10.IDEAL STAR NZ $7.50
11.LEONIDAS $1.80
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: The opening leg on tonight’s Quad is not only an absolute rip-hot-boiler of sublime standards but a wonderful advertisement for short course races staged under preferential conditions with a wide rating bandwidth applied. There is no doubt that the way he’s racing at present LEONIDAS (11) looks a half-class above his rivals here but as mentioned in a previous comment tonight outside second like draws over short course trips here at Bendigo are an almighty leveller. Despite the task facing him and the fact he’ll need to produce his best Victorian run yet for success that David Aiken recruit rates on top here but you wouldn’t take any crazy price and there may be a dark horse looming off the front row whose name is simply STREITKID (4). He has led at each of his past four starts but all too often he’s had to run crazy early times to secure the top. Here, he should just drop on the top without all that early labour and if he doesn’t overrace he can definitely test the fave based on his excellent last start success and his effort two back when almost leading throughout in 1:52.5. The race doesn’t end there either. WAYONBYE (2) is another quality animal who may not get too far back from a handy gate while IDEAL STAR (10) and PICK UP LINE (8) are also well above average and even ZAZU (1) has Each Way claims from an ideal alley.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Likely Leader) + 1 + 3

RATINGS: 11/ 4/ 2/ 10/ 8/ 1/ 7/ 3/ 5/ 6

SELECTIONS: LEONIDAS (11), STREITKID (4), WAYONBYE (2), IDEAL STAR (10)

 

Race 6 - SIMONDS HOMES BENDIGO PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.TRE COOL $3.50
2.OUR DOREEN DAYS $3.50
3.CALVERT HOT SHOT Em 1$
4.CALAQUENDI $14.00
5.RIGHTEOUSLY $16.00
6.ROCKS ARNT PETS $6.50
7.JOEYS HANGOVER $34.00
Second Row
8.MOTU CULLEN NZ $5.00
9.ENDORSEMENT $51.00
10.CHRONICLES $21.00
11.FIFTYSHADESOFHAY NZ $5.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: With the very even nature of this field one suspects that peg-domination of some description is relatively likely but with CALAQUENDI (4) the likely leader and only a minor winning hope the situation gets a little confusing. In the most likely circumstance OUR DOREEN DAYS (2) should at least cross TRE COOL (1) early. If he does then the lead or more likely the trail will be his and if that’s true then he’s the one to beat. That being said it was hard to miss the massive effort of TRE COOL (1) behind the very smart Denis William last start so he also has serious winning claims depending on where he ends up from the polemarking alley and MOTU CULLEN (8) also has the speed to figure but the draw looks ugly on paper. The X-factor in this race comes via FIFTYSHADESOFHAY (11) though he’ll need to be head and shoulders above these to prevail from the horror alley while ROCKS ARNT PETS (6) is also potentially up to figuring at his best.

EARLY SPEED: 4 (Likely Leader) + 2 + 6

RATINGS: 2/ 1/ 8/ 11/ 6/ 4/ 5/ 10/ 9/ 7

SELECTIONS: OUR DOREEN DAYS (2), TRE COOL (1), MOTU CULLEN (8), FIFTYSHADESOFHAY (11)

 

Race 7 - GREAT OCEAN ROAD REAL ESTATE PACE

No.HorsePrice
1.I AM MARQUEZ Em 1$
2.ROCKING BUGATTI $7.50
3.INAUGURATE $16.00
4.THE DEAL $51.00
5.BELITTLED $4.50
6.PAYING YOUR WAY $2.50
7.QUAMBY REACTOR $101.00
Second Row
8.ROCKABELLA STARZ $34.00
9.OZZIE BATTLER $5.50
10.DARK TERROR $12.00
11.ALL WHITEY THEN $4.00
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: Facts, figures and raw instinct would lead this analyst to believe tonight’s penultimate event harbours the Best Bet of the evening and his name is PAYING YOUR WAY (6). There has never been any doubt about that fellow’s talent and in his last six starts he’s led four times, winning on three of those occasions and only going under once to ALL WHITEY THEN (11) when he was following him throughout. Tellingly ALL WHITEY THEN (11) looms as his chief threat again – or at least one of them – only this time our top tip has an infinitely greater tactical advantage on that fellow than the last time they met. As mentioned ALL WHITEY THEN (11) is ablaze at present and must be a huge danger even from the horror draw but it’s a race of genuine depth with Bendigo’s short course record holder BELITTLED (5) also a huge chance, particularly with news the camp plan to go forward rather than back and OZZIE BATTLER (9) also too good and too genuine to leave out of calculations. Smaller hopes go to ROCING BUGATTI (2) who should get a gun run and INAUGURATE (3) who simply must win a race like this odds soon after catching the eye several times in recent outings.

EARLY SPEED: 6 (Likely Leader) + 2,4,5

RATINGS: 6/ 11/ 5/ 9/ 2/ 3/ 5/ 10/ 8/ 4/ 7

SELECTIONS: PAYING YOUR WAY (6), ALL WHITEY THEN (11), BELITTLED (5), OZZIE BATTLER (9)

 

Race 8 - ALDEBARAN PARK TROTTERS HANDICAP

No.HorsePrice
1.BALL PARK $101.00
2.YOUR NICKED $21.00
3.BOOTLEG BERT $101.00
4.WELL DEFINED NZ $8.50
5.ROBBIE ROYALE NZ $4.00
6.LUCINDA MAC $9.00
7.KHEIRON $5.50
Second Row
8.BIG JACK HAMMER $1.90
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

OVERVIEW: With the way he’s racing at present multiple Group 1 winner BIG JACK HAMMER (8) is obviously the horse to beat in tonight’s final event but much like his stablemate Leonidas earlier in the card you wouldn’t be taking any very short odds off the 40m impost. Clearly, the way he went last time, ROBBIE ROYALE (5) can cause huge problems if he begins as well as he can from the stand and goes as well as he did when winning by almost 20m at his third Australian outing last time out. If Robbie does lead and run along that will also aid the cause of WELL DEFINED (4) who appears a great chance of lobbing right behind him while KHEIRON (7) and LUCINDA MAC (6) also represent class and they too can worry the fave with their relative handicap advantages over him.

EARLY SPEED: 4,5 + 2,3,6,8

RATINGS: 8/ 5/ 4/ 7/ 6/ 2/ 3/ 1

SELECTIONS: BIG JACK HAMMER (8), ROBBIE ROYALE (5), WELL DEFINED (4), KHEIRON (7)