Race 8 - DOWNBYTHESEASIDE VICTORIA DERBY (3RD HEAT)

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No. Horse Class Gate Speed Pattern Price
1 SUPREME DOMINATOR NZ 1 SS $3.5
2 NOSTRA IDEAL 1 V $6
3 MAX DELIGHT 2 L $2.5
4 PETES BIG JIM 2 V $9
5 JUST SPEED 1 SSV $101
6 WAR DAN DELIGHT NZ 2 SS $12
7 PERFECT MAJOR 1 SS $26
8 SOHO THUNDERSTRUCK   V $9
9 FOURBIGMEN   V $6.5
 

SS=Sit Sprinter V=Versatile E=Enforcer L=Leader

OVERVIEW:The final Vic Derby heat of the evening is the weakest by a space but that doesn’t make it too much easier to analyse. One suspects that with his rapid improvement this campaign and the opinion David Aiken has of him that Lochinvar Art’s conqueror from two starts back MAX DELIGHT (3) should be too good particularly if you believe the lead is likely his though there are plenty of potential assassins if things don’t work out as simply as that. Heading that list is Kiwi visitor SUPREME DOMINATOR (1) who ran a ripping race at elite level in Auckland last start but who also started very long odds in that event. Also in the mix to qualify for next weekend are SOHO THUNDERSTRUCK (8), NOSTRA IDEAL (2), FOURBIGMEN (9), PETES BIG JIM (4) and WAR DAN DELIGHT (6) who all have intersecting formlines around one another from both sides of the ditch which tend to confuse rather than clarify which is best placed to strike a blow this evening.

Selections

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  Jason Blake
MAX DELIGHT (3) SUPREME DOMINATOR (1)
SUPREME DOMINATOR (1) MAX DELIGHT (3)
SOHO THUNDERSTRUCK (8) NOSTRA IDEAL (2)
4th NOSTRA IDEAL (2) FOURBIGMEN (9)

Suggested Bet (Jason): MAX DELIGHT (3) To Win

Suggested Bet (Blake): SUPREME DOMINATOR (1) To Win

Barrier Stats

Tabcorp Park Melton (Last 12 Months)
# Wins (Starts) # Wins (Starts)
1 39 (248) 8 16 (161)
2 28 (249) 9 12 (106)
3 32 (249) 10 13 (66)
4 29 (249) 11 4 (39)
5 37 (246) 12 2 (15)
6 21 (225) 13 0 (5)
7 16 (133)    

Driver Stats

Last 12 Months @ Melton (Drivers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Chris Alford 123 43 15 13 35%
Greg Sugars 114 20 14 10 18%
Michael Stanley 21 10 0 1 48%
Jason Lee 58 9 8 11 16%
Natalie Rasmussen 4 2 0 2 50%
Amanda Turnbull 5 2 0 0 40%
Mark Purdon 1 1 0 0 100%
Lauren Tritton 2 0 0 0 0%

Trainer Stats

Last 12 Months @ Melton (Trainers engaged this race)
Name Starts Wins 2nds 3rds S/R
Emma Stewart 78 33 10 8 42%
Michael Stanley 26 11 1 2 42%
Anton Golino 34 6 4 6 18%
David Aiken 12 2 6 2 17%
Dean Braun 7 2 1 1 29%

Market Fluctuations

Price change since market open (Updated:4pm 17/01/19)
Runner Name Open Current Change
1 SUPREME DOMINATOR $3.5 $3 4.80%
2 NOSTRA IDEAL $3.8 $5 -6.30%
3 MAX DELIGHT $3.2 $2.5 8.80%
4 PETES BIG JIM $11 $15 -2.40%
5 JUST SPEED $26 $61 -2.20%
6 WAR DAN DELIGHT $10 $13 -2.30%
7 PERFECT MAJOR $26 $34 -0.90%
8 SOHO THUNDERSTRUCK $10 $8.5 1.80%
9 FOURBIGMEN $12 $10 1.70%