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Race 1

Confidence:
 

 

I’ve got a big opinion POWDERKEG (6) but he is too short first up while ALDEBARAN CRESCENT (7) has been badly underrated by the market, particularly as she may well find the top. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

$20 Each Way on ALDEBARAN CRESCENT (7) at $6 or better 

Race 2

Confidence:
 

 

I’m somewhat shocked that PUNTARNO STRIDE (8) could be $11 in this race given he’s mapped to trail the likely leader and has a big class edge on most of these so he’s the Each Way play. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

$25 Each Way on PUNTARNO STRIDE (8) at $6.50 or better 

Race 3

Confidence:
 

 

The scratching of Whizzbang Dan has played very much into ZIGZAGZOO’S (5) hooves and the support for him fresh up without a trail also speaks volumes. For that reason we’re isolating him at the head of exotics. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

Flexi Trifecta: 5/ 1,4,6/ 1,4,6,7,8,10 ($30 gets 200%)

Race 4

Confidence:
 

 

The market hasn’t been shy about revealing the fact BEACH VILLA (2) should win tonight’s Sapling Stakes but the race doesn’t appeal to me from a punting perspective so I’m staying out. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

Nothing significant (Confidence rating that Beach Villa will win)

Race 5

Confidence:
 

 

All indications are that SPELLBOUND (7) will improve off this first run in Oz and TANGOINGWITHSIERRA (8) is flying so I’ve got her clearly on top despite the awful draw. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

$40 Win on TANGOINGWITHSIERRA (7) at $2.50 or better 

Race 6

Confidence:
 

 

Whichever you way I look at this race SONNY WEAVER (1) should lob his favourite position behind a leader that should take him where he needs to go. He is the one. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

$40 Win on SONNY WEAVER (1) at $2.50 or better 

Race 7

Confidence:
 

 

I am pretty strongly with EXPLICIT CASTLE (2) here but he’s just too short or an investment so I’m staying out. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

Nothing significant (Confidence rating that Explicit Castle will win)

Race 8

Confidence:
 

 

I wish I’d seen the $2.40 opening price about BONCEL BENJAMIN (7) because I think he’s a moral. JILLIBY LORENZO (8) is also a clear second pick so we have the basis for exotics. 

SUGGESTED BETS: 

Flexi Trifecta: 7/ 8/ 2,6: $30 gets 1500% 

Flexi Trifecta: 7/ 2,6/ 8: $15 gets 750% 

Flexi Trifecta: 7/ 8/ 1: $5 gets 500%

Race 9

Confidence:
 

 

I am staying out of the last. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

Nothing significant (Confidence rating that Manassa Sky will win)

 

Early Quaddie

 

6,7,9/ 1,8,10/ 5/ 2: $36 gets 400% 

6,7,9/ 4,9,11/ 5/ 2: $18 gets 200% 

6,7,9/ 1,8,10/ 5/ 6: $18 gets 200% 

6,7,9/ 4,9,11/ 1,4,6/ 2: $18 gets 66.67% 

CONFIDENCE:

 

Quaddie

 

7,8/ 1/ 2/ 7: $10 gets 500% 

7,8/ 1/ 3,4,5,8/ 7: $20 gets 250% 

7,8/ 1/ 2/ 2,6,8: $10 gets 166.67% 

7,8/ 5,7,8,9/ 3,4,5,8/ 7: $80 gets 250%

CONFIDENCE:

 

Summary

 

Win, place, each way

Race 1:
$20 Each Way on ALDEBARAN CRESCENT (7) at $6 or better
Race 2:
$25 Each Way on PUNTARNO STRIDE (8) at $6.50 or better
Race 5:
$40 Win on TANGOINGWITHSIERRA (7) at $2.50 or better
Race 6:
$40 Win on SONNY WEAVER (1) at $2.50 or better

Exotics

Race 3:
Flexi Trifecta: 5/ 1,4,6/ 1,4,6,7,8,10 ($30 gets 200%)
Race 8:
Flexi Trifecta: 7/ 8/ 2,6: $30 gets 1500%
Flexi Trifecta: 7/ 2,6/ 8: $15 gets 750%
Flexi Trifecta: 7/ 8/ 1: $5 gets 500%

Early Quaddie

6,7,9/ 1,8,10/ 5/ 2: $36 gets 400%
6,7,9/ 4,9,11/ 5/ 2: $18 gets 200%
6,7,9/ 1,8,10/ 5/ 6: $18 gets 200%
6,7,9/ 4,9,11/ 1,4,6/ 2: $18 gets 66.67%

Quaddie

7,8/ 1/ 2/ 7: $10 gets 500%
7,8/ 1/ 3,4,5,8/ 7: $20 gets 250%
7,8/ 1/ 2/ 2,6,8: $10 gets 166.67%
7,8/ 5,7,8,9/ 3,4,5,8/ 7: $80 gets 250%