Race 1
Confidence:
BEACH MUSIC (2) warrants favouritism here but with her super gate speed EVA MATEO (6) looks a legitimate threat so exotics are available to us as a potentially fruitful option.
SUGGESTED BET:
Flexi First Four: 2,6/ 2,6/ 1,3,5,7/ 1,3,5,7: $40 gets 166.67%
Race 2
Confidence:
CHANGE THE PRINT (4) looks the one here and if he leads as expected he’ll almost certainly prevail but I’d prefer to play him through Early Quads than have a straight out best at $2.30 given the possibility RAGNARR (3) may make life tough for him in the early and middle stages.
SUGGESTED BET:
Nothing significant
Race 3
Confidence:
There are a couple of ways to play this race and they both revolve around BRANDLO PRINCE (10). If you like to play without fuss then he is backable at $3.30 but I think it’s even smarter to rove him for first or second in exotics as there are a finite number of horses that can join him on the podium.
SUGGESTED BETS:
Flexi Trifecta: 10/ 5,8,9/ 3,5,8,9,11,13: $45 gets 300%
Flexi Trifecta: 5,8,9/ 10/ 3,5,8,9,11,13: $15 gets 100%
Race 4
Confidence:
Early doors we could have made a killing here with BLITZERN (5) opening $31 and ANIMADO (6) getting out to $23 but they are both $6.50 now so we’re better off just watching the race and hoping we’ve made smart prior investments.
SUGGESTED BET:
Nothing significant
Race 5
Confidence:
STRUVE (5) is a mercurial beast but he should have this lot covered and if we gets some value home for third a Trifecta play in this event may still be lucrative.
SUGGESTED BET:
Flexi Trifecta: 5/ 2,8,9/ 1,2,4,6,7,8,9: $30 gets 200%
Race 6
Confidence:
There were a heap of horses you could have backed in this race when markets opened but those odds have all pretty much re-calibrated to where they should be. The only one left at an attractive quote is MAJOR JODI (10) who is only not at his absolute top fluc.
SUGGESTED BET:
$5 Win & $25 Place MAJOR JODI (10) at $26 or better
Race 7
Confidence:
I might be missing something here but if MCLOVIN (2) leads and DANCE CRAZE (8) trails him then the latter mare should just win so you can back her at $3 even though better was on offer.
SUGGESTED BET:
$40 Win on DANCE CRAZE (8) at $2.50 or better
Race 8
Confidence:
CODE BLACK (7) opened $3.50 but was always going to start favourite here and now comfortably will. I don’t really want to launch at $2 but it’s still good enough so if you missed yet another early boat you can still catch this one.
SUGGESTED BET:
$40 on CODE BLACK (7) at $2 or better
Race 9
Confidence:
I don’t love this race but suspect OZZIE BATTLER (7) will lead so he is value at $10 given his Mildura form is a lot better than people may recognise.
SUGGESTED BET:
$10 Each Way on OZZIE BATTLER (7) at $7 or better
Race 10
Confidence:
Want to play a bit tricky here with DIAMONDS N CASH (1) a clear on-top selection but not quite over the line.
SUGGESTED BET:
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2,4,5/ 2,4,5: $36 gets 600%
Flexi Trifecta: 4/ 1/ 2,5: $4 gets 200%
Race 11
Confidence:
Not keen to play here so hoping we’re already in front.
SUGGESTED BET:
Nothing significant
Early Quaddie
2,6/ 4/ 10/ 1,3,5,6,9: $30 gets 300%
2,6/ 4/ 5,8,9,11/ 1,3,5,6,9: $40 gets 100%
2,6/ 1,2,3,5,9/ 10/ 1,3,5,6,9: $50 gets 100%
CONFIDENCE:
Quaddie
5/ 1,10,11,13/ 8/ 7: $40 gets 1000%
5/ 1,10,11,13/ 8/ 2,3: $20 gets 250%
5/ 1,10,11,13/ 2,7,9,10/ 7: $40 gets 250%
5/ 3,4,5,9,12/ 8/ 7: $10 gets 200%
CONFIDENCE:
Summary
Win, place, each way
Race 6:
$5 Win & $25 Place MAJOR JODI (10) at $26 or better
Race 7:
$40 Win on DANCE CRAZE (8) at $2.50 or better
Race 8:
$40 on CODE BLACK (7) at $2 or better
Race 9:
$10 Each Way on OZZIE BATTLER (7) at $7 or better
Exotics
Race 1:
Flexi First Four: 2,6/ 2,6/ 1,3,5,7/ 1,3,5,7: $40 gets 166.67%
Race 3:
Flexi Trifecta: 10/ 5,8,9/ 3,5,8,9,11,13: $45 gets 300%
Flexi Trifecta: 5,8,9/ 10/ 3,5,8,9,11,13: $15 gets 100%
Race 5:
Flexi Trifecta: 5/ 2,8,9/ 1,2,4,6,7,8,9: $30 gets 200%
Race 10:
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2,4,5/ 2,4,5: $36 gets 600%
Flexi Trifecta: 4/ 1/ 2,5: $4 gets 200%
Early Quaddie
2,6/ 4/ 10/ 1,3,5,6,9: $30 gets 300%
2,6/ 4/ 5,8,9,11/ 1,3,5,6,9: $40 gets 100%
2,6/ 1,2,3,5,9/ 10/ 1,3,5,6,9: $50 gets 100%
Quaddie
5/ 1,10,11,13/ 8/ 7: $40 gets 1000%
5/ 1,10,11,13/ 8/ 2,3: $20 gets 250%
5/ 1,10,11,13/ 2,7,9,10/ 7: $40 gets 250%
5/ 3,4,5,9,12/ 8/ 7: $10 gets 200%