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GOODFORM – Ryan’s take on the 10-races from Shepparton

Ryan Phelan has your tips, strategy and Quaddie for a bumper Tuesday night card from Shepparton.

Race 1:

OVERVIEW: ATTRACTED (3) improved sharply at his first run for the new stable when sitting parked and only narrowly going down in good time. With natural improvement and a nice draw to race handy he can break through for his second win.

GLENGARRY RED (9) creates plenty of interest first up in over a year with two trials into this. What he showed last preparation, if he’s anywhere near ready, warrants respect. I AM HARRO (10) has a reasonable SP profile and form to suggest he’s worth following but he hasn’t won in a while now. RED KERMIT (6) turned in his best run since his maiden victory, but he’s a little awkwardly drawn.

SELECTIONS: ATTRACTED (3), GLENGARRY RED (9), I AM HARRO (10), RED KERMIT (6)


Race 2:

OVERVIEW: CHEYS ANGEL (1) draws perfectly with the mares allowance, as she loves to be on the peg line as her recent solid performances suggest. She had no luck when shuffled back last time over the longer trip, but she holds more say over the map here.

SPECTA (5) may be one who has a dip for the lead and hasn’t had the best of fortune with how his races have played out since his victory four runs ago. MY ULTIMATE LUIGI (8) has been racing very well; he’s dictated by the map here, but with even luck will be right in the finish. CHIRRIPO (9) was much better last start dropping back to a suitable grade and he meets similar here.

BACK: CHEYS ANGEL (1) – 2 units (win)

SELECTIONS: CHEYS ANGEL (1), SPECTA (5), MY ULTIMATE LUIGI (8), CHIRRIPO (9)


Race 3:

OVERVIEW: MAAS BETTING AGAIN (1) was too bad to be true last time, finding her favourite position in the lead only to knock up badly. Her run prior at Cranbourne saw her beaten narrowly by the track record holder over that distance. She’s rocks and diamonds, but conditions are in her favour.

KATUNGA EXPRESS (6) may have an awkward draw but is well graded with the claim and if he gets the right run will be strong late. INDI PARTY MOOD (8) ran well last time at Melton, looks to get a soft run and can be a knockout late. THE GOLDEN HOOK (2) has had two trials into this which have been sound; he was good last time in and is worth considering.

SELECTIONS: MAAS BETTING AGAIN (1), KATUNGA EXPRESS (6), INDI PARTY MOOD (8), THE GOLDEN HOOK (2)


Race 4:

OVERVIEW: SHAZZA LOVE (4) deserves to break through on her four runs this season, including an excellent 2nd last start where she sustained a long run in a slick last half. Her draw gives her options to map well and she is suited back to mares grade.

CLIVES GIRL (2) has the potential to lead from this favourable draw and will be fitter here second up and hard to run down. ROAM (6) creates interest here first up off a good trial for the new stable whose team is performing well of late. MADAM REACTOR (3) was much better last preparation than what we’ve seen this time in; however, this presents as her best chance to recapture that form.

SELECTIONS: SHAZZA LOVE (4), CLIVES GIRL (2), ROAM (6), MADAM REACTOR (3)


Race 5:

OVERVIEW: LINE UP JACQUIE (9) is a mare in form and looks well suited in this line-up. She does go from the front row to the back row but should map in front of her main danger.

MISS JOPLIN (10) ran the quinella last time behind the aforementioned runner and was good there; she can fight out the finish again. YELLA (8) was good first up for the new stable; he has an awkward draw here, but a repeat keeps him right in it. NORTHERN TERROR (4) draws well to put himself into the race and has been racing consistently enough for this grade.

SELECTIONS: LINE UP JACQUIE (9), MISS JOPLIN (10), YELLA (8), NORTHERN TERROR (4)


Race 6:

OVERVIEW: OLLY ODD POTTS (4) turned in his best run for a while last time, running good sectionals from the back and wide. He goes to the front row and gets the chance to lead in what looks to be a suitable race.

HOME AND DRY (8) is racing consistently without winning and although he has an awkward draw to overcome, he looks well graded. MISS PIGGY WIGGY (9) normally runs her best races from the front row when she’s able to show her gate speed, but she looks well graded. THE LADYBIRD (7) won well at this track three starts ago but has a challenging draw to overcome.

BACK: OLLY ODD POTTS (4) – 2 units (win)

SELECTIONS: OLLY ODD POTTS (4), HOME AND DRY (8), MISS PIGGY WIGGY (9), THE LADYBIRD (7)


Race 7:

OVERVIEW: Looks very challenging race on paper. RED ROBBER (1) has now had two runs for the astute stable and has had market support both times. The run two back was good enough to beat these from the favourable draw.

SUMMER SCHOOL (8) could catch some nice cover from this draw and has been going fairly from more difficult set-ups. SON OF A BROAD (3) has changed stables and although his trial was only fair, he stays under notice. IMAGUNNARESTNGO (9) was a good runner-up here four back and a repeat of that gives him claims.

SELECTIONS: RED ROBBER (1), SUMMER SCHOOL (8), SON OF A BROAD (3), IMAGUNNARESTNGO (9)


Race 8:

OVERVIEW: INTRUSION (6) has been flying since joining the Turnbull barn and winning coming off the speed, laying down great sectionals. He comes into this well with the claim and although he’ll be map negative, he can come with a powerful finishing burst if there’s an even tempo.

SERENE ROCK (3) gets a draw to be map positive here, he’s been consistent throughout most of his career and the booking of Alford is a plus. GOOD TOBE LOCKSLEY (2) draws well with the mares allowance and her form has improved the past month to warrant strong consideration. WATTLEBANK ARNIE (8) drops in class significantly for this and is open to improvement despite the backrow draw.

BACK: INTRUSION (6) – 3 units (win)

SELECTIONS: INTRUSION (6), SERENE ROCK (3), GOOD TOBE LOCKSLEY (2), WATTLEBANK ARNIE (8)


Race 9:

OVERVIEW: NINEDOLLA TOASTIE (1) looks well placed to return to the winning list here, having raced in much better company than he faces here, with the speed to lead and added fitness on his side third up. He was really brave last time when forced to burn off a fast front row; if he gets a better run in transit he will be hard to beat.

SUMTHIN ELSE (2) will be trying to grab his back with his unruly stablemate likely to create that room and looks a good exotic play, fitter second up. KRAKEY (5) has good speed also and will use that and map up handy. OLLIES MEDAL (8) has raw ability but can be a handful; if he brings his best he has claims.

BACK: NINEDOLLA TOASTIE (1) – 3 units (win)

SELECTIONS: NINEDOLLA TOASTIE (1), SUMTHIN ELSE (2), KRAKEY (5), OLLIES MEDAL (8)


Race 10:

OVERVIEW: HEZ HARRYWHO (2) may be a question mark where he’s at form-wise, but a front row draw and James Herbertson is an incredibly enticing combination. The pair have combined successfully before and this looks a suitable race.

EASTBRO JESSE (3) delivered a high-quality performance last week that was a little against what he had been producing, but a repeat has him right in it. BYRNESIDE BOOM (5) just wasn’t as effective last week wide on the track compared to his win prior on the pegs. That’s a concern but his best is good enough. BLACKJACK WHACKO (7) can do things wrong but seems to have talent, so don’t dismiss him entirely.

SELECTIONS: HEZ HARRYWHO (2), EASTBRO JESSE (3), BYRNESIDE BOOM (5), BLACKJACK WHACKO (7)


10-UNIT GAME PLAN

R2 #1 CHEYS ANGEL – 2 units (win)

R6 #4 OLLY ODD POTTS – 2 units (win)

R8 #6 INTRUSION – 3 units (win)

R9 #3 NINEDOLLA TOASTIE – 3 units (win)


EARLY QUADDIE

3,6,7,9,10/1,5/1,2,3,6,8/2,3,4,6,9

QUADDIE

4,8,9,10/4,7,8,9/1,3,8,9/3,6


For all your harness form in one place go to goodform.thetrots.com.au 

** A betting unit is typically a percentage of the total bankroll or the amount of money you are willing to risk on a particular bet – for example 1 unit is 10% of your bankroll, therefore a $100 bankroll 1 unit equals $10

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