Race 1
Confidence:
EUREKA (8) deserves to be an odds on favourite even if the barrier draw it a little complicated on paper. I am confident MICROMETEOR (1) is the most likely to run second so it does become a pretty handy betting race
SUGGESTED BET:
Trifectas
8/1/3,4,7 for $30 gets 1000%
8/3,4,7/1 for $15 gets 500%
1/8/3,4,7 for $10 gets 333.33%
Race 2
Confidence:
Similar to the first race, there’s not much difference between my prices and the way the market is likely to land so while the top two pick themselves (PINK GALAHS (6) / SUCCESS COUNTS (7)) it’s probably a slightly less enticing punting race with a few different variables.
SUGGESTED BET: Nothing significant but work around 6 to beat 7 in trifectas.
Race 3
Confidence:
Once again there is no vicious overs in the early market here. I did think REBECCAS ART (3) might be underrated and at near double figures that does appear to be the case. I’m not desperate to back her but in an even race if she does continue to drift, she’s worth taking the punt on.
SUGGESTED BET: $15 Each Way on Rebeccas Art (3) at $11 or better.
Race 4
Confidence:
While it’s understandable why MAJOR TIMES (3) has come up odds-on here, he is a massive risk under the circumstances. WAR DAN (1) is likely to boot up and attempt to lead all the way which already complicates the equation. There are a number of different ways you can play this but with any speed on at all, LIKE A WILDFIRE (4) becomes the horse to beat.
SUGGESTED BET: $30 Win on Like A Wildfire (4) at $3 or better.
Race 5
Confidence:
I was quite keen on DEEDENUTO (8) before the scratching of CRIME WRITER (2) but now that COCOSFELLA (5) is an almost certain leader, it is worth flipping the script. I’m not keen to get heavily involved in the race but that pair should dominate with RUPERT OF LINCOLN (6) the only other hope for wider Quaddies.
SUGGESTED BET: Nothing significant but trifecta around 5/8/6 in order shouldn’t be far away.
Race 6
Confidence:
Provided BYALLA BOY (6) doesn’t fly across the face of the field this becomes an excellent betting race. GLENAVRIL KING (1) will lead and cop little pressure with RAGNARR (8) drawn to follow through and be the only possible threat.
SUGGESTED BET:
Trifectas
1/8/3,4,6,7 for $10 gets 250%
8/1/3,4,6,7 for $5 gets 125%
Race 7
Confidence:
SAMMY SHOWDOWN (5) is worth forgiving out of last start and in the small field he should be a bit too sharp for his rivals late. That said, IMPERIAL WHIZ (3) will give a good sight out front so with SCALLYWAG SAM (2) the clear next best, it’s a good race to be involved through the multiples.
SUGGESTED BET:
Trifectas
5/3/2 for $25 gets 2500%
5/2/3 for $15 gets 1500%
3/5/2 for $5 gets 500%
Early Quaddie
This is a tricky enough Early Quaddie but we can get involved in the hope that we jag some value through the last two legs.
8/6/Field/1,2,3,4 for $30 gets 125%
CONFIDENCE:
Quaddie
If we can nail some value through the first leg then we’ll work through the market leaders in the last three legs to hopefully ensure a profit in what looks a nice little Quaddie tonight.
1,2,3,4/5/1/5 for $30 gets 750%
1,2,3,4/5/1/3 for $10 gets 250%
1,2,3,4/5/8/5 for $10 gets 250%
1,2,3,4/8/1/5 for $10 gets 250%
1,2,3,4/8/1/3 for $5 gets 125%
1,2,3,4/6/1/5 for $5 gets 125%
CONFIDENCE:
Summary
Win, place, each way
Race 3: $15 Each Way on Rebeccas Art (3) at $11 or better
Race 4: $30 Win on Like A Wildfire (4) at $3 or better
Exotics
Race 1: Trifectas
8/1/3,4,7 for $30 gets 1000%
8/3,4,7/1 for $15 gets 500%
1/8/3,4,7 for $10 gets 333.33%
Race 6: Trifectas
1/8/3,4,6,7 for $10 gets 250%
8/1/3,4,6,7 for $5 gets 125%
Race 7: Trifectas
5/3/2 for $25 gets 2500%
5/2/3 for $15 gets 1500%
3/5/2 for $5 gets 500%
Early Quaddie
8/6/Field/1,2,3,4 for $30 gets 125%
Quaddie
1,2,3,4/5/1/5 for $30 gets 750%
1,2,3,4/5/1/3 for $10 gets 250%
1,2,3,4/5/8/5 for $10 gets 250%
1,2,3,4/8/1/5 for $10 gets 250%
1,2,3,4/8/1/3 for $5 gets 125%
1,2,3,4/6/1/5 for $5 gets 125%