Ryan Phelan has your tips and Quaddie for a bumper 10-race card from Shepparton.
Race 1:
OVERVIEW: TOORAM DANNY (13) was outstanding first-up from a break, drawing off the back row and forced to work three wide over the last lap, conceding a tactical advantage while producing one of the best closing profiles of the meeting. He will need to produce something similar again, but despite the draw, added fitness should see him closing strongly.
BETTORSWEETVICTORY (2) will no doubt be popular with punters from the draw over the trip, and deservedly so with plenty in her favour. She can press forward and lead from there and looks the one to run down. HIGHVIEW HAMMER (1) looks set to enjoy an economical run from the draw and was a winner in an easier race three back in decent time. BET SHEZA LADY (3) was only fair first-up, but she has decent ability and is worth keeping safe from the draw with added fitness.
BACK: TOORAM DANNY (13) – 2 units (win)
SELECTIONS: TOORAM DANNY (13), BETTORSWEETVICTORY (2), HIGHVIEW HAMMER (1), BET SHEZA LADY (3)
Race 2:
OVERVIEW: ELATED (4) has been very good this campaign, winning his first two runs back from a spell. Last time at Charlton he failed but simply had too much to do from the wide draw. He maps much better here, so a quick bounce back can be expected.
RANDOM MAHONEY (1) was good two starts back at Melton when working hard off the track and sticking on to run fourth. He did have every chance last time, but the draw helps. EVILEYE (9) has mixed her form this preparation, but she has still won twice in her past six starts and a freshen-up appeals. OUR CHEEKY DEVIL (3) runs his best races over the shorter trips and should get a decent trip from the draw, although he’s always dependent on the right tempo.
SELECTIONS: ELATED (4), RANDOM MAHONEY (1), EVILEYE (9), OUR CHEEKY DEVIL (3)
Race 3:
OVERVIEW: FENWAY PARK (6) has been good in all three career runs, and his first look at Shepparton was brave, narrowly going down in good time after doing plenty of work in the run. He switches to the high-striking Lisa Pitt stable and can press forward again and simply be too fast for them.
ALIZA HILL (1) turned in her best performance to win last time out doing it tough, albeit in a moderate lineup. She can string wins together when in form. SOHO PLAYGIRL (9) doesn’t have the numerical form, but she’s still been okay in her runs. Even though she prefers to lead, this race looks suitable. YA BOTTOM DOLLAR (2) has been racing consistently without winning, and there was merit in his second placing last time when doing it tough, although it has been nearly a year since his last win.
BACK: FENWAY PARK (6) – 3 units (win)
SELECTIONS: FENWAY PARK (6), ALIZA HILL (1), SOHO PLAYGIRL (9), YA BOTTOM DOLLAR (2)
Race 4:
OVERVIEW: OLLY ODD POTTS (1) goes from the worst draw to the best draw, and her fourth placing last time was very good despite ending her winning streak. She has early gate speed to either lead or take the right cover, and that map advantage, combined with her current form, makes her the one to beat.
TOPHUT JOHNY (3) is open to sharp improvement from this better draw with the opportunity to race further forward. His best runs have come when able to lead, so if he happens to find the top, he will give cheek. KRAKEY (7) again faces a tricky draw, but he has raced well his past couple and needs to be considered. FLIP A COIN (9) has come back okay in three runs and despite the back-row draw, this race presents suitably for him.
BACK: OLLY ODD POTTS (1) – 2 units (win)
SELECTIONS: OLLY ODD POTTS (1), TOPHUT JOHNY (3), KRAKEY (7), FLIP A COIN (9)
Race 5:
OVERVIEW: This is a race where any betting moves around INTERESTINME (1) and MIDNIGHT ALIBI (4) need to be closely monitored as both join stables with high strike rates, particularly with lowly rated horses. Their form has been reasonable enough, so an upsurge would not surprise.
IMON (7) has been strongly supported his past couple, but he’s seemingly been his own worst enemy. He tends to switch off and hit a flat spot, making things difficult for himself in the straight. No gear changes were listed at the time of writing, but some tinkering would create interest to go again. WICKED ONE (8) was good here four runs back and while he hasn’t reproduced that in three starts since, his SP profile is worth noting and the soft draw could see him improve.
SELECTIONS: INTERESTINME (1), MIDNIGHT ALIBI (4), IMON (7), WICKED ONE (8)
Race 6:
OVERVIEW: PARIS JAMILLA (9) has been good since joining Jamie Egan, winning impressively three starts back, and she has had excuses for her past couple, including last time when held up before dashing home once clear. She drops in grade here and with the right tempo can flash home late.
WHATS THE TEA (4) is never far away in these types of races, and the more favourable draw than some of his key rivals helps. JILLIBY TOPGUN (6) has been putting it together this preparation and delivering results. The draw is a little sticky, but if he maps well, he can feature again. WAIKARE ADRIENNA (8) is always thereabouts and has a good record at this track, although she again faces a tricky draw.
SELECTIONS: PARIS JAMILLA (9), WHATS THE TEA (4), JILLIBY TOPGUN (6), WAIKARE ADRIENNA (8)
Race 7:
OVERVIEW: REASON TO LAUGH (6) has been knocking on the door for a win and gets the barrier draw advantage over his main rival MYNAMEISRUBY (7) who always presses forward in these races and gives a sight. There’s little between them.
OKTOLOVE (4) is a fast beginner and can map well. He was a winner in slow time four runs ago, so he’s in the mix in a low-confidence race. DOT BALL (8) draws softly inside the back row and has placed from similar draws recently, so can work home well late.
SELECTIONS: REASON TO LAUGH (6), MYNAMEISRUBY (7), OKTOLOVE (4), DOT BALL (8)
Race 8:
OVERVIEW: SAMMY HALLER (9) strikes a winnable race here despite the back-row draw, having covered many of these rivals in recent efforts. The small field and trailing draw mean he should map reasonably well and work into the race at the right time.
ALDEBARANHARLEQUIN (3) is a fast beginner and should benefit from her first-up outing in a race that had more depth than this. She showed decent ability last campaign. VOLDAGHA (3) was slightly disappointing first-up when able to lead before dropping out. There does appear to be ability there, so he’s worth another chance from the draw. TAKEN BY WINE (6) broke through for her maiden win at her 70th start last time out, winning quite easily, albeit against weaker opposition.
SELECTIONS: SAMMY HALLER (9), ALDEBARANHARLEQUIN (3), VOLDAGHA (3), TAKEN BY WINE (6)
Race 9:
OVERVIEW: MANINKY MOONSHINE (2) has been sneaky good this preparation from bad draws and tricky set-ups. He went close to winning from a good draw four starts back when able to lead in good time, narrowly going down. While this is a strong race, he’s hard to resist as a value play.
FOURTH RESPONSE (5) is a fast beginner and was very good first-up, rolling along in good time before condition gave out late. He’s fitter now and has the ability to win. HITCH TO HIS STAR (7) is his high-striking stablemate and was the real eye-catcher of that race first-up but again has a tricky draw to overcome. MICHEN ROY (3) was very good on the clock from a bad draw last time out and now draws to race forward, which is where he performs best.
BACK: MANINKY MOONSHINE (2) – 1 unit (win)
SELECTIONS: MANINKY MOONSHINE (2), FOURTH RESPONSE (5), HITCH TO HIS STAR (7), MICHEN ROY (3)
Race 10:
OVERVIEW: CAMERINA (1) deserves to break through for her maiden win here after delivering four consecutive runner-up finishes, and she’s been brave every time. She shows reasonable gate speed and even if she doesn’t hold up, should still get her chance via the passing lane.
WHENIMREADY (6) has hit form his past three starts, working hard in most of those runs. He returns to the front row now, so an improved performance can be expected. WHERE IT BEGAN (2) should be better now for three runs back from a spell and should map well enough to be in the mix. STAY ALPHA (5) has been sound his past couple without threatening and has place claims.
BACK: CAMERINA (1) – 2 units (win)
SELECTIONS: CAMERINA (1), WHENIMREADY (6), WHERE IT BEGAN (2), STAY ALPHA (5)
10-UNIT GAME PLAN
R1 #13 TOORAM DANNY – 2 units (win)
R3 #6 FENWAY PARK – 3 units (win)
R4 #1 OLLY ODD POTTS – 2 units (win)
R9 #2 MANINKY MOONSHINE – 1 unit (win)
R10 #1 CAMERINA – 2 units (win)
EARLY QUADDIE
1,2,13/1,3,4,9,10/1,6/1,3,7,9
QUADDIE
1,3,7,8/4,5,6,8,9/4,6,7,8,9/3,4,9
For all your harness form in one place go to goodform.thetrots.com.au
** A betting unit is typically a percentage of the total bankroll or the amount of money you are willing to risk on a particular bet – for example 1 unit is 10% of your bankroll, therefore a $100 bankroll 1 unit equals $10
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