Ryan Phelan has your tips and Quaddies for Cranbourne harness Sunday night.
Race 1:
OVERVIEW: BULLETPROOF KID (1) resumes here at his home track off a fair trial last month. He was very good last campaign, travelling to Sydney and winning there, and prior scored a nice victory at this track when he was able to lead all the way over the mile. He looks as though he’ll be able to kick up and hold the lead here and will take plenty of catching.
GALAXY LASS (8) should be able to hold his back, and the last time she raced here she was an odds-on favourite and was just a little too far off the leaders. She’s open to improvement with the positive map. HEATSEEKER (9) was a winner at Melton five runs back when he was able to find the front, where he often races best. He punches through and shouldn’t be too far off them here and was a winner at this track at his only try. KISS ME MINI (10) is also dropping in class and her performances at provincial grade are good, as evidenced by her victory two back. She’ll just need luck from the draw.
BACK: BULLETPROOF KID (1) – 1 unit (win)
SELECTIONS: BULLETPROOF KID (1), GALAXY LASS (8), HEATSEEKER (9), KISS ME MINI (10)
Race 2:
OVERVIEW: FINAL BOW (11) returns to a suitable grade after performing well without winning this campaign. She goes well at this track, and although she’ll need the right tempo to work into the race, there should be an early burn by the front row to set up a last quarter she may be able to capitalise on from back in the field.
DOT BALL (8) found the right race and set-up to win here two back, then was forced to do too much work last time out at Melton. The soft draw is in her favour if the breaks come late. BOND GIRL (10) was disappointing last time after stringing some good runs together. She’s better than that and does look to trail through nicely from the back row and not be far away. THE REGULATOR (6) is her stablemate and ran well here last start after sitting parked. He may need some luck from the draw, but if he gets it, he’s in the mix.
SELECTIONS: FINAL BOW (11), DOT BALL (8), BOND GIRL (10), THE REGULATOR (6)
Race 3:
OVERVIEW: INEXORABLE (5) has been flying this preparation and, other than her first-up victory, she’s had no luck whatsoever. She drops in class, finds a very suitable race and can press forward from this draw and look for the lead. She has a good record at this track, and the middle trip is in her favour.
JUST PEDRO (8) has been thereabouts lately from similar draws and positions, and being on the peg line is a help in this class. BELLA LOUISE (7) races well at her home track and was good three back when a close-up second. That was from a better draw, and she’ll need things to work out from this wide set-up. DENNY ROCKS (4) can begin well from this draw and look to get a nice run. His last few runs have shown marked improvement.
BACK: INEXORABLE (5) – 3.5 units (win)
SELECTIONS: INEXORABLE (5), JUST PEDRO (8), BELLA LOUISE (7), DENNY ROCKS (4)
Race 4:
OVERVIEW: VIVID DREAM (4) resumes here and has always shown promise despite his numerical form suggesting otherwise. He galloped away as a short-priced favourite at this track before a spell, but that appeared out of character. He’s had two very good trials into this which should have him forward enough, and his good gate speed should give him the map advantage on his key rivals.
CYCLONE JENNI (7) is also first-up, and she too has displayed good ability against quality opposition throughout her 2yo season and took on an NSW Oaks campaign. Her trial was sound, and although she will need luck from this draw, she’s quality enough to overcome that. GOZO SWEET (3) has been good her past couple, including a win at this track last time out. This is a step up in class, but she should be solid again. HELLOVASTORY (6) after winning his maiden, has been consistent enough and has place claims.
BACK: VIVID DREAM (4) – 2 units (win)
SELECTIONS: VIVID DREAM (4), CYCLONE JENNI (7), GOZO SWEET (3), HELLOVASTORY (6)
Race 5:
OVERVIEW: HURRICANE HOOLY (1) looks well placed with the mares’ concession and gets a favourable draw to race on speed, which is where she performs best. She was a winner three runs back when she sat parked and was strong in decent time for this grade. She narrowly went down last time, and starting on the pegs is a big advantage.
TEX GOES BANG (3) returns to a front-row draw, which helps him improve on his recent form as he’s a grinding type who brings better stamina than speed. He has a sound record at this track. WINGATE GUY (8) can hold her back and is also suited in this grade. He has been a little disappointing of late, but the soft draw and map work in his favour. TOPHUT JOHNY (7) goes well at this track and was a winner here back in May when able to lead. The draw is a challenge, but his best form keeps him in the mix.
SELECTIONS: HURRICANE HOOLY (1), TEX GOES BANG (3), WINGATE GUY (8), TOPHUT JOHNY (7)
Race 6:
OVERVIEW: SKYVALLEY BOY (6) brings different form to the opposition, as they regularly clash and it often comes down to luck in running. He had his first run for the new stable and was good, narrowly going down at Bendigo from a back-row draw. He may be driven positively from the barrier and, with luck, can go close.
AT THE DISTANCE (5) will appreciate this draw to work forward and look for a position close to the speed. He ground out a solid second last start at Shepparton at a similar level. AGAINST THE BRIDLE (3) will like this draw as a go-forward type. He was a bit wayward last time out here, so overlook that. He was a winner here in March when able to find the lead. WHATS THE TEA (8) galloped out last start, but prior was a winner against weaker company at Melton. The soft draw helps him be in the finish.
SELECTIONS: SKYVALLEY BOY (6), AT THE DISTANCE (5), AGAINST THE BRIDLE (3), WHATS THE TEA (8)
Race 7:
OVERVIEW: DOSSIER (3) won’t find a better race to return to the winners’ list. She had nothing go right when favourite last start after dropping back in class following some sound performances against much better company at Melton. She can afford an aggressive drive here and, if she finds the top, will be very hard to get past.
KISS AT MIDNIGHT (2) is a quick beginner and should get down to the peg line first. She normally takes cover over the middle trip and was good last time out. She looks the main danger. KITTY CASH (1) was a winner here two back and had to work too hard last time out. The soft draw and her consistency keep her in the mix. THAT’S MY CARDIGAN (8) was a good winner here last time but had a much better set-up, and the wide draw here makes things tough. He has place claims.
BACK: DOSSIER (3) – 3.5 units (win)
SELECTIONS: DOSSIER (3), KISS AT MIDNIGHT (2), KITTY CASH (1), THAT’S MY CARDIGAN (8)
10-UNIT GAME PLAN
R1 #1 BULLETPROOF KID – 1 unit (win)
R3 #5 INEXORABLE – 3.5 units (win)
R4 #4 VIVID DREAM – 2 units (win)
R7 #3 DOSSIER – 3.5 units (win)
EARLY QUADDIE
1,8,9,10/4,6,7,8,10,11/5/4,7
QUADDIE
4,7/1,3,6,7,8/2,3,5,6,7,8/2,3
For all your harness form in one place go to goodform.thetrots.com.au
** A betting unit is typically a percentage of the total bankroll or the amount of money you are willing to risk on a particular bet – for example 1 unit is 10% of your bankroll, therefore a $100 bankroll 1 unit equals $10
