Goodform Gameplan: Cranbourne Sat 17th July

This looks the perfect race for LA PUDDIE (3). Not only will his brilliant early pace almost ensure he heads them off but there’s minimal obvious mid-race pressure to cause him, consternation. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

$40 Win LA PUDDIE (3) at $2.20 or better

I am staggered by the price for DENIS WILLIAM (1) tonight. I may have read the map wrong but I think he’ll lob straight behind SOHO BOLLINGER (2) and no position suits him better now than leader’s tail in transit. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

$25 Each Way DENIS WILLIAM (1) at $4.50 or better

If they hand CYCLONE S ADAMS (7) the front he should win but this is as race where I’m more inclined to sit out and hope for value via Early Quads. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

Nothing significant (Confidence that CYCLONE S ADMAS (7) will win)

I may be deifying him a touch too soon but I am falling for CAPTAIN BELLASARIO (5) and suspect he’ll relish the way this 3YO event is likely to be run. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

$40 Win CAPTAIN BELLASARIO (5) at $2.20 or better

Those that got $9 EW about STRUVE (7) should be very happy with themselves and $7 still represents excellent EW value. He’s almost an equal top-tip in my book here and has been foolishly ignored due to the draw only IMO. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

$20 Each Way STRUVE (7) at $5.50 or better

I would nearly be happy to sit this FFA out but I did have a Bundle Bet with TORRID SAINT (3) and MALCOLMS RHYTHM (8) earlier in the week so it would be disingenuous to say nothing when I’ve had something. The price is rock bottom now but hopefully a few jumped on when I Tweeted earlier this week. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

$40 Bundle Bet TORRID SAINT (3) & MALCOLMS RHYTHM (8) at $1.80 or better

The $7 offered about KEAYANG LIVANA (10) through much of the week was very juicy indeed and the $5 about her is still OK but, again, I think there’s little between the top three hopes and would prefer to watch, enjoy and barrack for Liv through Quads. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

Nothing significant (Confidence that one of the three big guns will prevail)

It’s never easy launching into horses ‘forced’ to race against a recently established, very successful pattern but I just feel sure that VANDANTA (2) will lead and receive the kind of soft trip he needs to almost act as a front-running sit-sprinter so he’s one of my better bets all night. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

$40 WIN VANDANTA (2) at $2.20 or better

The massive deductions will make the $15 you received about REGULUS (1) early in the week much less palatable, and while he’s now my on-top selection I think he’s actually worse placed without those second row runners so I’m staying out here. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

Nothing significant (Confidence that REGULUS (1) will win)

Quiet finish to the card for me. ENCHANTED STRIDE (8) looks the one but it’s a very even race and I’d need much better than the $2.60 we’re currently being offered to get involved. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

Nothing significant (Confidence that ENCHANTED STRIDE (8) will win)