Race 1
Confidence:
There are multiple winning hopes in the opening event, but CHISSY (5) is the best value by far at $8.
SUGGESTED BET:
$15 Each Way CHISSY (5) at $8
Race 2
Confidence:
IM SHADOW BOXER (8) should win this on form, but he’s the type of horse you always want to take on at red-figure odds. Huge congrats to those that backed BELIEVE IN FOREVER (1) at $71. That price is well gone now but, for interest sake, it could be worth backing him and ZUBERI (4) on a 1 x 3 basis.
SUGGESTED BET:
$5 Win $15 Place BELIEVE IN FOREVER (1) at $10 or better & ZUBERI (4) at $12 or better.
Race 3
Confidence:
A big part of me wants to launch at former Kiwi filly IM OFF N GONE (5) but the money hasn’t arrived so I’m staying out.
SUGGESTED BET:
Nothing significant. (Confidence that IM OFF N GONE (5) will win)
Race 4
Confidence:
I’m leaning toward SHES A HOVERCRAFT (5) for those that just want one wager, but, in my opinion, this is an exotic contest waiting to happen.
SUGGESTED BET:
Flexi First Four: 4,5/ 4,5/ 7/ 1,2: $40 gets 1000%
Flexi First Four: 4,5/ 4,5/ 1,2/ 7: $20 gets 500%
Race 5
Confidence:
This already weird race has only gotten stranger with the two scratching, but one thing remains true. JEAN LUC (4) is going far better than his $7.50 quote would suggest.
SUGGESTED BET:
$25 Each Way JEAN LUC (4)
Race 6
Confidence:
When you see obvious overs early in the week, they rapidly rectify themselves. Not here. SUNDONS COURAGE (8) represent genuine quality and is flying again at present. The $14 is gone but he’s still $12 and I marked him $4.50. The other one worth specking for those that don’t mind backing two in one race is HATCHBACK (4) who should lead and trail in transit.
SUGGESTED BET:
$30 Each Way SUNDONS COURAGE (8) at $6.50 or better
Race 7
Confidence:
If you have the requisite funds at your disposal, then the best bet all night is AMAZING DREAM (3) the drum at $1.70. She simply cannot miss the podium in my opinion. We’ve missed the $7.50 a win about her but she’s still $6 and even at that price that 10-time G1-winner and likely leader seems great value EW.
SUGGESTED BET:
$20 Win $80 Place AMAZING DREAM (3) at $4.50 or better
Race 8
Confidence:
No great confidence in the last but, for interests sake, a little Bundle Bet on JOE NIEN (1) and ZOLIVER (8) seems a solid play to get out.
SUGGESTED BET:
$20 Bundle Bet JOE NIEN (1) & ZOLIVER (8) at $3 or better
Early Quaddie
I quite like this Early Quad, but I do suggest you play ALL THREE combos below if you plan to get involved.
2,5,6,8/ 8/ 5,8/ 4,5: $32 gets 200%
2,5,6,8/ 1,4,5,6,7/ 5,8/ 4,5: $80 gets 100%
2,5,6,8/ 8/ 2,4/ 4,5: $8 gets 50%
CONFIDENCE:
Quaddie
This is a Quad for thrill-seekers only. In basic terms, we need a big result in leg one or we’re swimming against the tide.
Field/ 6,8,9/ 3,6,7/ 1,4,5,8: $72 gets 25%
Field/ 4,7/ 3,6,7/ 1,4,5,8: $18 gets 9.18%
CONFIDENCE:
Summary
Win, place, each way
Race 1:
$15 Each Way CHISSY (5) at $8
Race 2:
$5 Win $15 Place BELIEVE IN FOREVER (1) at $10 or better & ZUBERI (4) at $12 or better.
Race 5:
$25 Each Way JEAN LUC (4)
Race 6:
$30 Each Way SUNDONS COURAGE (8) at $6.50 or better
Race 7:
$20 Win $80 Place AMAZING DREAM (3) at $4.50 or better
Race 8:
$20 Bundle Bet JOE NIEN (1) & ZOLIVER (8) at $3 or better
Exotics
Race 4:
Flexi First Four: 4,5/ 4,5/ 7/ 1,2: $40 gets 1000%
Flexi First Four: 4,5/ 4,5/ 1,2/ 7: $20 gets 500%
Early Quaddie
2,5,6,8/ 8/ 5,8/ 4,5: $32 gets 200%
2,5,6,8/ 1,4,5,6,7/ 5,8/ 4,5: $80 gets 100%
2,5,6,8/ 8/ 2,4/ 4,5: $8 gets 50%
Quaddie
Field/ 6,8,9/ 3,6,7/ 1,4,5,8: $72 gets 25%
Field/ 4,7/ 3,6,7/ 1,4,5,8: $18 gets 9.18%
