Race 1
Confidence:
These small fields often encourage single-file racing and few would fit more neatly into that category with HULI NIEN (1) likely to lead, REPEAT AFTER ME (2) dropping straight in behind and life looking tough for everybody else. That being said BAD BILLY (7) is flying and may be the one runner who can upset the natural order.
Suggested Bets
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2/ 7: $20 gets 2000%
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2/ 3,5: $20 gets 1000%
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 7/ 2: $10 gets 1000%
Race 2
Confidence:
This race has lost some much needed structure with Miss McGonagall moving to the feature event. I still like DIVINE DIVA (4) but where she ends up is a little less obvious so we’ll have a crack without breaking the budget.
Suggested Bet
$20 Win Divine Diva (4) at $4.20 or better
Race 3
Confidence:
BREVITY (11) is my tip here just clear of CEE CEE IN AMERICA (2) but there’s not a lot I like about this event so I won’t be getting involved.
Suggested Bet
Nothing significant (Confidence rating that either Brevity or Cee Cee In America will win)
Race 4
Confidence:
We don’t see as many races as we used to pre-NR where skinny, aggressive exotics appear as appealing as they do here. Simply put, CATCH A MOMENT (2) will lead and win while SANTA CASA BEACH (1) will trail and finish second or third at very worst. What you do to fill the other podium position is largely up to you.
Suggested Bet
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 1/ 6,8: $30 gets 1500%
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 1/ 11,13: $10 gets 500%
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 6,8/ 1: $10 gets 500%
Race 5
Confidence:
With so many key scratchings this race does look a benefit for BETTOR BE SORRY (4) now. Usually having such a clear likely winner would set us up for some sweet exotic options but sadly that isn’t the case here. Even acknowledging that fact I am going to have two Trick hoping that A FAIR OL DANCE (1) holds up behind the leader. My nightmare result is DIAMONDS N CASH (3) finishing second as I think he’s going a bit better than his recent record may indicate.
Suggested Bet
Flexi Trifecta: 4/ 1,6/ 1,3,6,10: $30 gets 500%
Flexi Trifecta: 4/ 1,6/ 2,9: $10 gets 250%
Race 6
Confidence:
I’ve banged on about this all week but the fact we run NO significant races for mares over a trip makes it almost to impossible to assess the QOTP these days. I have a bizarre inkling that NO WIN NO FEED (6) may have a big lash at the start and potentially find the pegs. That’s a speculative theory however so we won’t be breaking the bank.
Suggested Bet
$5 Each Way No Win No Feed (6) at $10 or better
Race 7
Confidence:
We’ve missed Top Fluc which is disappointing but I have a big opinion of ARDEN VOYAGER (2). The fat of the matter is he looks near certain to lead and his aggressive racing style means you almost can’t place pressure on him. I know this is his toughest assignment but Tabcorp Park is racing so fast these day I think he can break 1:52 in front if required and if he does whatever beats him wins.
Suggested Bet
$20 Win Arden Voyager (2) at $4 or better
Race 8
Confidence:
The way the prices have panned out in tonight’s Graduate we can do something quite foreign to many punters and back three different runners Each Way. Either that or you can lay PERFECT STRIDE (10). He can win but shouldn’t be so short in such a good race from such a bad draw.
Suggested Bets
$15 Each Way Boots Electric (7) at $5 or better
$10 Each Way Sonny Weaver (9) at $6 or better
$5 Each Way Major Jodi at $12 or better
Race 9
Confidence:
Take this in the spirit with which it’s intended. Unless I’m hundreds of dollars in front by this point I will not invest here.
Suggested Bet
Nothing significant
Race 10
Confidence:
Again; I love this sport and want to encourage turnover, but not here either.
Suggested Bet
Nothing significant
Race 11
Confidence:
BOPPER JET (6) should handle these and the way I’m going to try and make money from the event is by taking a semi-set against ELROY JETSON (4).
Suggested Bet
Flexi Trifecta: 6/ 3,5/ 3,4,5: $20 gets 500%
Early Quaddie
Having Catch A Moment in the final leg of this Early Quad means we must play a little more aggressively than we’d like and with no big result on offer we’re not playing with any great funds.
1/ 2,4,8/ 2,11/ 2: $30gets 500%
1/ 2,4,8/ 1,3,5,10,11/ 2: $30 gets 200%
CONFIDENCE:
Quaddie
It’s not my usual style but we’re just going to play one Quad for value here. If we can get the fave beaten in legs 2 or 4 – or preferably both – a decent result looms.
4/ 2,3,6,9/ 1,2,10/ 5,7,8,9,10: $60 gets 100%
CONFIDENCE:
Summary
Win, place, each way
Race 2:
$20 Win Divine Diva (4) at $4.20 or better
Race 6:
$5 Each Way No Win No Feed (6) at $10 or better
Race 7:
$20 Win Arden Voyager (2) at $4 or better
Race 8:
$15 Each Way Boots Electric (7) at $5 or better
$10 Each Way Sonny Weaver (9) at $6 or better
$5 Each Way Major Jodi at $12 or better
Exotics
Race 1:
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2/ 7: $20 gets 2000%
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2/ 3,5: $20 gets 1000%
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 7/ 2: $10 gets 1000%
Race 4:
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 1/ 6,8: $30 gets 1500%
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 1/ 11,13: $10 gets 500%
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 6,8/ 1: $10 gets 500%
Race 5:
Flexi Trifecta: 4/ 1,6/ 1,3,6,10: $30 gets 500%
Flexi Trifecta: 4/ 1,6/ 2,9: $10 gets 250%
Race 11:
Flexi Trifecta: 6/ 3,5/ 3,4,5: $20 gets 500%
Early Quaddie
1/ 2,4,8/ 2,11/ 2: $30gets 500%
1/ 2,4,8/ 1,3,5,10,11/ 2: $30 gets 200%
Quaddie
4/ 2,3,6,9/ 1,2,10/ 5,7,8,9,10: $60 gets 100%