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the-goodform-gameplan-melton-friday-17th-july

The Goodform Gameplan: Melton Friday 17th July

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Race 1

Confidence:
 

 

This market has come up pretty much as expected with ROCKINGWITHSIERRA (1) drawn to deserve odds-on favouritism. AFTER LUNCH (8) and ROCKTAGONAL (7) look the only viable threats but neither are over the odds so we’ll keep our powder dry here by just playing through the Early Quaddie.

SUGGESTED BET: Nothing Significant.

Race 2

Confidence:
 

 

ELECTROJET (9) has come up very short here after being beaten as an odds-on favourite last time but I’ve got a lot of respect for her talents so I’m not overly keen to take her on. If you’re playing wider or saver Early Quaddies then GATESYS GIFT (11) and HES THEMIGHTYSPIN (10) are both viable options and it’s not a bad trifecta race if you’re willing to play aggressively.

SUGGESTED BET:

Trifectas

9/10,11/10,11 for $35 gets 1750%

10,11/9/10,11 for $15 gets 750%

Race 3

Confidence:
 

 

I wouldn’t be surprised if PENNY BOBBINS (8) and BELLISSIMA (7) continue to shorten up here but it’s not the sort of race you’d be wanting to get heavily involved with. Of the others it’s those drawn 4,5,6 look the other hopes in the race.

SUGGESTED BET: Nothing Significant.

Race 4

Confidence:
 

 

There’s obviously going to be a few hurdles to clear here but FORTY THIEVES (5) resumes here and he can freewheel when he’s allowed to find the front so in a suitable race class-wise, he looks the bet. Most of the others are in single figures and it would be hard to deny almost every runner a knockout hope at least.

SUGGESTED BET: $40 Win on Forty Thieves (5) at $3.00 or better.

Race 5

Confidence:
 

 

BULLYS DELIGHT (3) is a deserved favourite here but there’s no juice in the market. HEAVENS SHOWGIRL (2) is a touch of unders compared to what I marked her with OFF THE RADAR (8) the obvious overs in the race and one of the class runners.

SUGGESTED BET: $20 Place on Off The Radar (8) at $2.50 or better.

Race 6

Confidence:
 

 

ARABELLA STAR (4) will start shorter than two’s on here and that’s a fair price. TRE COOL (1) is best placed, but not necessarily a moral, to run second and from there MAXINES DELIGHT (7) is the next in line if she finds something like her best.

SUGGESTED BET:

Trifectas

4/1/7 for $20 gets 2000%

4/1/2,6 for $12 gets 600%

4/7/1,2,6 for $9 gets 300%

4/2,6/1,7 for $4 gets 100%

Race 7

Confidence:
 

 

Similar to the previous the favourite IMPERIAL WHIZ (6) will be deep odds-on and while it’s hard to argue, I’d have to say I’m just slightly less confident than the third leg of the Quaddie. If looking for savers then include every other runner.

SUGGESTED BET: Nothing Significant.

 

Early Quaddie

 

EARLY QUADDIE:

I don’t think we need to play too wide so while we are playing very aggressively, if this Early Quaddie comes off, it should reap dividends.

1/ 9/ 7,8/ 5,8 for $20 gets 500%

CONFIDENCE:

 

Quaddie

 

This looks quite a nice Quaddie so while a lot of the hard work will be done in the first leg, if we escape that with the right result, I’m confident we’ve covered the combinations required to make it a handy little bank builder for the weekend.

5,8/ 3/ 4/ 6 for $30 gets 1500%

5,8/ 3/ 4/ 1,2,3,4 for $15 gets 187.5%

5,8/ 3/ 1/ 6 for $5 gets 250%

5,8/ 2,6,8/ 4/ 6 for $12 gets 200%

5,8/ 2,6,8/ 4/ 1,2,3,4 for $6 gets 25%

1,2,3,4,6,7/ 3/ 4/ 6 for $12 gets 200%

CONFIDENCE:

 

Summary

 

Win, place, each way

Race 4:
$40 Win on Forty Thieves (5) at $3.00 or better
Race 5:
$20 Place on Off The Radar (8) at $2.50 or better

Exotics

Race 2: Trifectas
9/10,11/10,11 for $35 gets 1750%
10,11/9/10,11 for $15 gets 750%
Race 6: Trifectas
4/1/7 for $20 gets 2000%
4/1/2,6 for $12 gets 600%
4/7/1,2,6 for $9 gets 300%
4/2,6/1,7 for $4 gets 100%

Early Quaddie

1/ 9/ 7,8/ 5,8 for $20 gets 500%

Quaddie

5,8/ 3/ 4/ 6 for $30 gets 1500%
5,8/ 3/ 4/ 1,2,3,4 for $15 gets 187.5%
5,8/ 3/ 1/ 6 for $5 gets 250%
5,8/ 2,6,8/ 4/ 6 for $12 gets 200%
5,8/ 2,6,8/ 4/ 1,2,3,4 for $6 gets 25%
1,2,3,4,6,7/ 3/ 4/ 6 for $12 gets 200%

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