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the-goodform-gameplan-mildura-friday-28th-august

The Goodform Gameplan: Mildura Friday 28th August

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Race 1

Confidence:
 

 

CAMNAT (9) has always had the ability and really showed it last week when winning by 30 metres hard held. It is harder tonight taking on some of the region’s better three-year-old’s but off the back of last week there is no reason why she isn’t in that particular category already. COSTLY MISTAKE (8) broke through last start and this is an easier race opposition wise. LAST ARTIST (5) should get every chance from the top.

SUGGESTED BET: Boxed Trifecta 5, 8, 9

Race 2

Confidence:
 

 

GRINAGAIN (6) has the widest draw over the sprint trip and may very well have to sit without cover but it was similar circumstances last week when he boxed on fourth in a stronger race so he should be close regardless. MISTA PUMBLECHOOK (5) was a better run last week whilst CABALLO DIABLO (3) is getting closer to breaking through and if gaining a start has to be respected.

SUGGESTED BET: CABALLO DIABLO (3) and GRINAGAIN (6) Each-Way

Race 3

Confidence:
 

 

POPNPENNIES (10) is first-up for three and a half months without a trial but ran well enough against some of the region’s better three-year-old’s when last in work. MUSTANG MAX (8) has been going really well at the trials for a horse yet to go to the races and this debutante has to be highly respected. MISSBLISSFULLBEACH (7) should again enjoy an economical run and do her best work late whilst VIN DAN (2) at his best is good enough but has opened short enough off two local disappointments.

SUGGESTED BET: MUSTANG MAX (8) and POPNPENNIES (10) Each-Way

Race 4

Confidence:
 

 

DRAGONTOWN (11) has a tough draw but in a stronger race two weeks ago came from last at the 400 metres to be beaten only a head so on that run with even luck he is the one to beat. TIMMY LIMOUSINE (5) could possibly be the one to throw down the challenge. PINNACLE HOPE (4) is interesting whilst with the right run CAESARS REIGN (9) can be close.

SUGGESTED BET: DRAGONTOWN (11) to Win

Race 5

Confidence:
 

 

Race of the night. Good grading of race despite pinching a few from the fast class. HEZA REDDY (10) has been racing consistently and occasionally beating the region’s best over the last few months and no doubt will appreciate this grade of race, the last time he didn’t race in a fast class contest he won easily. KING SOLOMON (7) finds a nice race whilst CASHWRANGS SMOKER (8) is good enough but is disadvantaged on the second row. SMYNANNA MICKEY (5) at her best is good enough but is first-up and couldn’t get past CASHWRANGS SMOKER (8) in a recent trial. FRANKNTANK (4), HEAVEN ATTRACTS (3) and SANTA CASA DREAM (2) would all probably need things to go right to beat home the class runners.

SUGGESTED BET: Boxed Trifecta 7, 8, 10

Race 6

Confidence:
 

 

STONEBRIDGE STAR (9) is more often than not worth an each-way bet and to add to that is always value. It’s not surprising to see him open double figures as that is normally the case with him, unfairly, but on recent runs he is over the odds, as per normal. It is the most open race of the night though with chances given to NEDS BEACH (11), CLASSIC REACTOR (8), the in-form three-year-old filly COCO BEACH (4) who takes on her elders for the first time, PIRATESOF ZANZIBAR (6) and TALE OF THE DRAGON (10) both come off top victories.

SUGGESTED BET: STONEBRIDGE STAR (9) Each-Way

Race 7

Confidence:
 

 

BERNIE WINKLE (5) was too good first-up from a setback last week and for those that thought he would still prove too good despite the setback and got the half decent odds, well done to you. Hopefully, you made the most of it because naturally second-up after last week he is going to be clearly odds-on. MURRANJI TRACK (4) seems to be back to his best but it’s obviously not enough to reverse form with Bernie. CAULONIA TERROR (2) could be worth a place bet off the back of last week despite it being a no third dividend race.

SUGGESTED BET: CAULONIA TERROR (2) to Place?

Race 8

Confidence:
 

 

ROCKTAGONAL (8) makes his Sunraysia debut and brings good enough recent form from down south to go very close. WITHOUT HESITATION (10) is first-up for six weeks and with the right run forward would be dangerous as would CALL ME HENRY (11) who had no luck at his last run two weeks ago. THOMAS HEIGHTS (5) continues to race consistently and will undoubtedly be up there somewhere again.

SUGGESTED BET: THOMAS HEIGHTS (5) Each-Way

Race 9

Confidence:
 

 

METRO PRINCESS (10) is first-up since January without a trial and whilst the second row is a disadvantage to this mare who is at her best when leading, the sprint trip helps and opposition wise it looks a good enough race first-up. WILLS (11) has poor figure form but is significantly down in class. LOYOLA GOLF (9) is also well enough placed whilst AQUAFLIGHT (5) is the odds-on favourite and has the front row advantage but has been getting it wrong recently over in Adelaide.

SUGGESTED BET: METRO PRINCESS (10) Each-Way

 

Early Quaddie

 

There is no doubt that Last Artist, Costly Mistake and Camnat are the three key chances in the opener whilst in the second leg Mista Pumblechook and Grinagain were both sound last week and if gaining a start reserve Caballo Diablo has to be included at value. There are three or four key chances in an interesting third leg whilst Dragontown is arguably the best placed horse on the program and on his last run should be able to overcome the outside second row barrier down in grade.

5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 6, 10 / 2, 7, 8, 10 / 11 ($48 gets 100%)

5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 6 / 7, 8, 10 / 11 ($27 gets 100%)

CONFIDENCE:

 

Quaddie

 

Heza Reddy, King Solomon, Cashwrangs Smoker and Smynanna Mickey are obviously clearly the class runners in the first leg and all have to be included although possibly with the exception of Smynanna Mickey as she couldn’t get past Cashwrangs Smoker in a recent trial and is first-up. The second leg is very open and Coco Beach, Piratesof Zanzibar, Stonebridge Star and Tale Of The Dragon all have to be included and possibly also Classic Reactor and Neds Beach if you wish to play wider. Obviously play the third leg one out whilst there look to be four key chances in the closing leg.

5, 7, 8, 10 / 4, 6, 8, 9, 10, 11 / 5 / 5, 8, 10, 11 ($96 gets 100%)

7, 8, 10 / 4, 6, 9, 10 / 5 / 5, 8, 10, 11 ($48 gets 100%)

CONFIDENCE:

 

Summary

 

Win, place, each way

Race 2:
$25 Each-Way on Caballo Diablo (3) at $11 or better.
$25 Each-Way on Grinagain (6) at $3 or better.
Race 3:
$25 Each-Way on Mustang Max (8) at $5 or better.
$25 Each-Way on Popnpennies (10) at $3.50 or better.
Race 4:
$50 Win on Dragontown (11) at $2 or better.
Race 6:
$50 Each-Way on Stonebridge Star (9) at $11 or better.
Race 8:
$25 Each-Way on Thomas Heights (5) at $7.50 or better.
Race 9:
$25 Each-Way on Metro Princess (10) at $3 or better.

Exotics

Race 1:  Boxed Trifecta
5, 8, 9
Race 7: Flexi Trifecta
5 / 2, 4 / 2, 4, 6 ($20 gets 500%)
 

Early Quaddie

5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 6, 10 / 2, 7, 8, 10 / 11 ($48 gets 100%)
5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 6 / 7, 8, 10 / 11 ($27 gets 100%)
 

Quaddie

5, 7, 8, 10 / 4, 6, 8, 9, 10, 11 / 5 / 5, 8, 10, 11 ($96 gets 100%)
7, 8, 10 / 4, 6, 9, 10 / 5 / 5, 8, 10, 11 ($48 gets 100%)

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