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Race 1

Confidence:
 

 

There’s not heaps of surprises in this market, I thought the polemarker CHEEKI PHILTRA (1) was the obvious overs at $19 given I marked her $7.50 and an each-way chance in an even race. My top pick in the race ALWAYS GRINNING (8) has opened a similar price to what I marked ($6 compared to $5.50) but it’s not a race we should be putting all our eggs into early in the card.

SUGGESTED BET: $10 Each Way on Always Grinning (8) @ $6.00 or better & $5 Each Way on Cheeki Philtra (1) @ $15 or better.

Race 2

Confidence:
 

 

I was quite surprised to see JANJUC (7) come up favourite and find early support here. I was working around SASSYFEET (4) as the best winning chance and HYPERVIGILANT (3) as the danger so they both look overs in the early market.

SUGGESTED BET: $20 Win on Sassyfeet (4) @ $3 or better & $10 Place on Hypervigilant (3) @ $2.50 or better.

Race 3

Confidence:
 

 

It’s hard to get too strongly involved in a trotting race with a first starter that is going to dominate the market, from a holistic point of view I thought FROM THE SWAMP (1) was clearly the horse to beat and BELLA CONTESSA (2) the obvious threat and early overs in the marketplace (that said, not overly keen to back her).

SUGGESTED BET: Nothing significant but From The Swamp (1) to beat Bella Contessa (2) in trifectas does not look the worst play.

Race 4

Confidence:
 

 

I’ve got plenty of respect for MORGAN MYLEE (5) but I didn’t think she was screaming to the line when clear last time so she’s way shorter than I had her in my market. I thought ANTIOPE (3) and VENKMAN (4) were the clear two so I’m happy to back one and save on the other in search of a result.

SUGGESTED BET: $25 Win on Venkman (4) @ $3 or better & $10 Win on Antiope @ $6.50 or better.

Race 5

Confidence:
 

 

This is an open start to the Quaddie and that’s reflected in the early odds. I didn’t spy much in terms of crass overs in the race however DALLAS FRANCO (8) is a winning chance in my mind and should probably be single figures. Happy to watch this go by and just be involved through Quaddies.

SUGGESTED BET: Nothing significant

CONFIDENCE RATING: 2/5

Race 6

Confidence:
 

 

The scratching of SANTA CASA BEACH (8) has changed this race dramatically but the odds now are mostly reflective of how I assessed the market sans early favourite. With that in mind I think TREASURE (6) is the horse to beat and the other pair in single figures are the only two dangers but I’m not sure there’s a super bet to craft here.

SUGGESTED BET: Nothing of note.

Race 7

Confidence:
 

 

SIRLETIC (5) should just be a class above here however IDEAL STAR (7) is flying and it would be a shock if they didn’t run the exacta. I leant towards SHOSHONE BRAVE (4) as the best of the rest so this becomes a very good betting race.

SUGGESTED BET: Trifecta 5/7/4 for $25 & Trifecta 7/5/4 for $10.

Race 8

Confidence:
 

 

OURSOUTHERNSTAR (3) is the deserved favourite here on her last win and overall form profile. That said, if there is to be a knockout, I thought PEPPA BLISS (1) is ready to improve and is being disrespected as the outsider in the market. Given their comparative odds, I’m more inclined to have something small on the latter.

SUGGESTED BET: $10 Win on Peppa Bliss (1) at $10 or better.

 

Early Quaddie

 

Outside of the third leg there does appear to be some good value in this Early Quaddie so I’m happy to play around the horses we’ve outlined in the Game Plan and hope to jag a result here.

1,2,5,8/ 3,4/ 1/ 3,4 for $20 which gets 125%

CONFIDENCE:

 

Quaddie

 

This is by no means a bad Quaddie to be involved with but it’s fair to say if we are hoping to eek some value out of it, we are probably going to have to get something going early doors. That said, I’d be disappointed if we can’t turn a profit by staggering up the likely winners in the last three legs with their very few dangers.

1,3,7,8,9/ 6/ 5/ 3 for $20 gets 400%

1,3,7,8,9/ 6/ 5/ 1 for $10 gets 200%

1,3,7,8,9/ 6/ 7/ 3 for $10 gets 200%

1,3,7,8,9/ 5/ 5/ 3 for $10 gets 200%

1,3,7,8,9/ 3/ 5/ 3 for $5 gets 100%

CONFIDENCE:

 

Summary

 

Win, place, each way

Race 1: $10 Each Way on Always Grinning (8) @ $6.00 or better & $5 Each Way on Cheeki Philtra (1) @ $15 or better.
Race 2: $20 Win on Sassyfeet (4) @ $3 or better & $10 Place on Hypervigilant (3) @ $2.50 or better.
Race 4: $25 Win on Venkman (4) @ $3 or better & $10 Win on Antiope @ $6.50 or better.
Race 8: $10 Win on Peppa Bliss (1) at $10 or better.

Exotics

Race 7: Trifecta 5/7/4 $25 gets 2500% & 7/5/4 $10 gets 1000%

Early Quaddie

1,2,5,8/ 3,4/ 1/ 3,4 for $20 which gets 125%

Quaddie

1,3,7,8,9/ 6/ 5/ 3 for $20 gets 400%
1,3,7,8,9/ 6/ 5/ 1 for $10 gets 200%
1,3,7,8,9/ 6/ 7/ 3 for $10 gets 200%
1,3,7,8,9/ 5/ 5/ 3 for $10 gets 200%
1,3,7,8,9/ 3/ 5/ 3 for $5 gets 100%