Race 1
Confidence:
The market is relatively similar to the way I saw this race with ALICE KAY (8) a deserved odds-on favourite. With a couple of horses not expected to feature at all, it becomes a pretty good betting race where we can target first fours.
SUGGESTED BET:
First Fours
5/3/2,4/2,4 for $20 gets 1000%
5/2,4/3/2,4 for $10 gets 500%
Race 2
Confidence:
This isn’t an easy race to sort through but in principal the top three in the market do look the obvious three. That said, I’m not sure there’s a really prudent way to play this race so we might be best to just work through Early Quaddies.
SUGGESTED BET: Nothing Significant.
Race 3
Confidence:
YANNARIE (4) looks to have found her right race but there’s no juice in her price. It’s also hard to identify any serious dangers that look huge overs so we’ll stay on the bench here but stand our top pick out in Early Quaddies.
SUGGESTED BET: Nothing Significant unless Yannarie (4) gets out towards 2/1 ($3).
Race 4
Confidence:
This is a ripping race with relatively exposed form so WILL I ROCKNROLL (6) gets the nod ahead of JUSTICE SERVED (2) if the speed map works out early then it also becomes a solid betting race.
SUGGESTED BET:
Trifectas
6/2/4 for $20 gets 2000%
2/6/4 for $10 gets 1000%.
Race 5
Confidence:
BOBBIES DELIGHT (9) has come up a more than fair price after the solid first-up run in Victoria. AMERICAN SWEETHEART (6) is certainly a danger but I’d be expecting them to start a lot closer together come race time.
SUGGESTED BET: $30 Win on Bobbies Delight (9) at $3 or better.
Race 6
Confidence:
It’s fair to say I’m a #Belieber here. We could try to get tricky and craft some exotics but I’m more inclined to stand out JUST BELIEVE (7) in Quaddies and hope that he brings something like his form of last preparation.
SUGGESTED BET: Nothing Significant.
Race 7
Confidence:
KASBAH KID (3) has already had market support and even if he can’t spear to the lead early, he’s a quality horse who drops in grade for this and I’m confident he’ll not only end up starting favourite, he should be a little too good.
SUGGESTED BET: $30 Win on Kasbah Kid (3) at $2.50 or better.
Early Quaddie
We’re going to play some savers here but essentially we need Alice Kay (5) to win the first leg and one of our final two top picks to win to ensure we nab a result.
5/ 1,4,9/ 4/ 6 for $12 gets 400%
5/ 1,4,9/ 4/ 2 for $6 gets 200%
5/ 1,4,9/ 4/ 4 for $3 gets 100%
5/ 1,4,9/ 1,3,7/ 6 for $9 gets 100%
CONFIDENCE:
Quaddie
We’re not going to over-extend ourselves here as this is a tricky Quaddie but rather than throw up a hail mary with a heap of combinations, we’ll play in hope that most of the legs go as expected and we can land a decent chunk of the dividend.
6/ 9/ 7/ 3 for $12 gets 1200%
6/ 9/ 7/ 1,9 for $5 gets 250%
6/ 9/ 11/ 3 for $5 gets 500%
6/ 5,6/ 7/ 3 for $5 gets 250%
2/ 9/ 7/ 3 for $5 gets 500%
4/ 9/ 7/ 3 for $3 gets 300%
CONFIDENCE:
Summary
Win, place, each way
Race 5:
$30 Win on Bobbies Delight (9) at $3 or better.
Race 7:
$30 Win on Kasbah Kid (3) at $2.50 or better.
Exotics
Race 1: First Fours
5/3/2,4/2,4 for $20 gets 1000%
5/2,4/3/2,4 for $10 gets 500%
Race 4: Trifectas
6/2/4 for $20 gets 2000%
2/6/4 for $10 gets 1000%.
Early Quaddie
5/ 1,4,9/ 4/ 6 for $12 gets 400%
5/ 1,4,9/ 4/ 2 for $6 gets 200%
5/ 1,4,9/ 4/ 4 for $3 gets 100%
5/ 1,4,9/ 1,3,7/ 6 for $9 gets 100%
Quaddie
6/ 9/ 7/ 3 for $12 gets 1200%
6/ 9/ 7/ 1,9 for $5 gets 250%
6/ 9/ 11/ 3 for $5 gets 500%
6/ 5,6/ 7/ 3 for $5 gets 250%
2/ 9/ 7/ 3 for $5 gets 500%
4/ 9/ 7/ 3 for $3 gets 300%