powererd by  
 

 

Race 1

Confidence:
 

 

Nobody will be happier than me if my old mate HURRICANE HARLEY (1) leads and wins but the fact remains that LOCHINVAR ART (13) is in his own league at the minute and if Sal is willing to sacrifice his stamina yet again then he’ll win. The other crucial player in OUT TO PLAY (2) and once you’ve covered him off appropriately the final task if figuring out who can come third. 

SUGGESTED BET: 

Flexi Trifecta: 13/ 1,2/ 1,2,6,7,8,11 ($30 gets 300%)

Race 2

Confidence:
 

 

The next three races are trotting features and they’re all SUPER tough. The minute I finished form I felt 1 x 3 wagers on CRACKER JET (1) and RULES DONTAPPLY (5) seemed more than reasonable – but only for small amounts. 

SUGGESTED BETS: 

Cracker Jet (1) $15 & Rules Don’t Apply (5) $19: $5 Win & $15 Place

Race 3

Confidence:
 

 

There’s a large part of my soul that believes ALDEBARAN TESS (12) might be a freak so I’m forced to have something on her even though the price is only just now (she opened $7!!). The other one I’m keen to invest in ARAIGNEE FLAIR (11). It probs chocks me there hasn’t been some support for her but I’ve never been known to follow the crowd. 

SUGGESTED BETS: 

$20 Win on Aldebaran Tess (12) at $3.50 or better 

$5 Win & $15 on Araignee Flair (11) at $16 or better

Race 4

Confidence:
 

 

My top tip in this very open trotting feature is ALDEBARAN ZEUS (4) but the money has come and with the weight of multiple wise heads at HRV so he’s no longer the attractive option but, at odds, PARISIAN ARTISTE (9) could be the blowout. The way he went in the heat KYVALLEY HOTSPUR (11) is also far from cast at cricket score odds 

SUGGESTED BET:  

Parisian Artiste (9) $5 The Win & $15 the Place

Race 5

Confidence:
 

 

Here we go. To my eyes MAJOR MOTH (1) is the moral but with the $1.75 now on offer you’d need significant resources to get a decent collect from him. I’m still going to have a decent go straight out but I’m staggering tricks and de desperately hoping that ACT NOW (2) as I expect. If my map is right this should be a very easy watch. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2/ 4,8 ($40 gets 2000%)

Race 6

Confidence:
 

 

There has been a mysterious drift on for SWEET LOUISE (1) today but it all makes no sense to me and whether its politics, religion, science or racing if it makes no sense I ignore it. She’s the best filly, with the best draw and a champion driver aboard so, if anything, I thank Buddha for the drift because now I’m happy to punt her straight out. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

$40 The Win on Sweet Louise (1) at $2 or better

Race 7

Confidence:
 

 

Early in the week I was crowing about LOORIM LAKE (12) at what was an exorbitant price but the smarties have stepped in and while the current quote of $5 still represents value it’s not the kind of value that makes your hair stand up on end so we’re left to play a pretty paltry exacta and have something irresponsible the place on MONSIEUR DELACOUR (6) after his enormous run at semi-final level last weekend. 

SUGGESTED BETS: 

Flexi Exacta: 1,12/ 1,9,12,13: $30 gets 500% 

$10 The Place on Monsieur Delacour (6) at wild odds.

Race 8

Confidence:
 

 

What a freakin’ contest this is! Some two-horses aren’t REAL two-horse races but I’m confident this one is and after going through all of their H2H I slightly favour LADIES IN RED (10) over TOUGH TILLY (2) despite the significant barrier draw disadvantage. I was all set to attack DANGEROUS HAND (8) for third but new realities are at play now that Filly is scratched. 

SUGGESTED BETS:  

Flexi Trifecta: 10/ 2/ 1,4: $20 gets 1000% 

Flexi Trifecta: 10/ 2/ 3,5,8: $15 gets 500% 

Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 10/ 1,4: $10 gets 500% 

Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 10/ 3,5,8: $5 gets 166.67%

Race 9

Confidence:
 

 

I’m staying out here. MEXICANA (1) should lead and win and ALDEBARAN URSULA (8) will run second if she holds the trail but they are juvenile trotters and much of the form is confusing so I’ll spend this race counting my wining in the Quad. 

SUGGESTED BET:  

Nothing significant (Confidence rating that Mexicana will win)

Race 10

Confidence:
 

 

Few decent bets to close the night. It may seem cowardly but I can’t easily separate the ‘big four’ so I’m playing two Trifectas with all of them to win (not Enchanted Stride) and also having something EW No Win No Feed who seems serious overs for mine at $14. 

SUGGESTED BETS: 

Flexi Trifecta: 5,9/ 3,5,7,9,11/ 3,5,7,9,11: $40 gets 166.67% 

Flexi Trifecta: 7,11/ 3,5,7,9,11/ 3,5,7,9,11: $20 gets 83.33% 

$10 Each Way No Win No Feed (7) at $12 or better

 

Early Quaddie

 

I don’t want to much around here. One of the trotting races will yield a value winner but we can’t predict which one so I’m playing one wide Quaddie with every serious winning chance I can find and relying on Arty to take out the first. 

13/ 1,2,3,5,6,10/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 1,3,4,9,12: $100 gets 66.67%

CONFIDENCE:

 

Quaddie

 

We’ll play a number of little staggers here (by that I mean SeptoQuad) but lean and mean is the order of the night, as is so often the case with Breeders Crown pacing finals. My main advice here is to follow your instinct. You may think tis Quad won’t pay much but if you play it the right way – with the jackpot – it could actually be quite lucrative. 

1/ 1/ 1,12/ 10: $25 gets 1250% 

1/ 1/ 1,12/ 2: $10 gets 500% 

1/ 1/ 9,13/ 10: $10 gets 500% 

1/ 1/ 9,13/ 2: $5 gets 250% 

1/ 3,6,8,10,12,13/ 1,12/ 10: $30 gets 250% 

1/ 3,6,8,10,12,13/ 1,12/ 2: $15 gets 125% 

1/ 3,6,8,10,12,13/ 9,13/ 10: $15 gets 125% 

CONFIDENCE:

 

Summary

 

Win, place, each way

Race 2:
Cracker Jet (1) $15 & Rules Don’t Apply (5) $19: $5 Win & $15 Place
Race 3:
$20 Win on Aldebaran Tess (12) at $3.50 or better
$5 Win & $15 on Araignee Flair (11) at $16 or better
Race 4:
Parisian Artiste (9) $5 The Win & $15 the Place
Race 6:
$40 The Win on Sweet Louise (1) at $2 or better
Race 7:
$10 The Place on Monsieur Delacour (6) at wild odds.

Exotics

Race 1:
Flexi Trifecta: 13/ 1,2/ 1,2,6,7,8,11 ($30 gets 300%)
Race 5:
Flexi Trifecta: 1/ 2/ 4,8 ($40 gets 2000%)
Race 7:
Flexi Exacta: 1,12/ 1,9,12,13: $30 gets 500%
Race 8:
Flexi Trifecta: 10/ 2/ 1,4: $20 gets 1000%
Flexi Trifecta: 10/ 2/ 3,5,8: $15 gets 500%
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 10/ 1,4: $10 gets 500%
Flexi Trifecta: 2/ 10/ 3,5,8: $5 gets 166.67%
Race 10:
Flexi Trifecta: 5,9/ 3,5,7,9,11/ 3,5,7,9,11: $40 gets 166.67%
Flexi Trifecta: 7,11/ 3,5,7,9,11/ 3,5,7,9,11: $20 gets 83.33%

Early Quaddie

13/ 1,2,3,5,6,10/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 1,3,4,9,12: $100 gets 66.67%

Quaddie

1/ 1/ 1,12/ 10: $25 gets 1250%
1/ 1/ 1,12/ 2: $10 gets 500%
1/ 1/ 9,13/ 10: $10 gets 500%
1/ 1/ 9,13/ 2: $5 gets 250%
1/ 3,6,8,10,12,13/ 1,12/ 10: $30 gets 250%
1/ 3,6,8,10,12,13/ 1,12/ 2: $15 gets 125%
1/ 3,6,8,10,12,13/ 9,13/ 10: $15 gets 125%